LSU vs. Alabama - 11/3/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

LSU vs. Alabama - 11/3/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Bryan Lynn-USA TODAY Sports

Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0) at LSU Tigers (7-1)

College Football: Saturday, November 3, 2018 at 8:00 pm (Tiger Stadium-LSU)

The Line: LSU Tigers +14.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Alabama Crimson Tide and the LSU Tigers meet in a top-5 SEC college football showdown from Tiger Stadium on Saturday night. 

The Alabama Crimson Tide will look for another win to remain unbeaten after having a week to prepare following a 58-21 win over Tennessee in their last outing. Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 2,066 yards and 25 touchdowns this season, while the running back tandem of Najee Harris and Damien Harris have combined to rush for 924 yards and 9 TDs while Josh Jacobs has 8 rushing scores alone this season. Jerry Jeudy leads the Tide with 31 grabs for 777 yards and 10 TDs, while Jaylen Waddle, Henry Ruggs III and Devonta Smith each have 400+ receiving yards, with Ruggs III leading the trio with 7 TDs this season. As a team, Alabama is averaging top-5 marks in total offence (564.2 YPG/2nd in FBS) and passing yardage (347.4 YPG/5th in FBS) while owning the country’s highest scoring offense with 54.1 points per game this season. 

The LSU Tigers will look for a big statement win at home after a 19-3 win over Mississippi State in their last outing. Joe Burrow has thrown for 1,544 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions while the duo of Nick Brossette and Clyde Edwards-Helaire have rushed for 1,218 yards and 15 touchdowns while the aforementioned Burrow has rushed for 4 TDs of his own. Justin Jefferson leads LSU in receiving with 30 catches for 471 yards and a pair of receiving touchdowns this season. As a team, LSU is averaging 383.6 yards of total offend and 30.4 points per game this season while sitting 7th in the country in scoring defense, allowing just 15.1 points per game this season. Alabama is 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games against a team with a winning home record while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. LSU is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games while the under is 10-1-1 in their last 12 games following a bye week. Alabama is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these two teams at LSU. 

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Baton Rouge is one of the hardest places in the country to go on the road and play let alone win, and 9 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams have been decided by 14 points or less, and between a pair of teams that play solid defense, the points hold lots of value here. However, the Tide have had this game circled on their calendar since the beginning of the season, and are far superior offensively than LSU. Sure, the Tigers can hold their own and put points up, but Alabama is flat out rolling right now and going against the Tide hasn’t paid off at all for me this season, so I’ll lay the points in a game I’d much rather just watch than bet.

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Chris’s Pick Alabama -14.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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