Maryland vs. Michigan State - 11/3/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Michigan State Spartans (5-3) at Maryland Terrapins (5-3)
College Football: Saturday, November 3, 2018 at 12:00 pm (Maryland Stadium)
The Line: Maryland Terrapins +3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Michigan State Spartans and Maryland Terrapins meet Saturday in college football action at Maryland Stadium.
The Michigan State Spartans look for their third road victory of the season to become bowl eligible for the 11th time in the last 12 years. The Michigan State Spartans have won five of their last eight road games. Rocky Lombardi is completing 56.3 percent of his passes for 327 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions. Lombardi and Brian Lewerke have combined for 10 touchdown passes and seven interceptions this season. Felton Davis III and Cody White have combined for 774 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Darrell Stewart Jr. has 21 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 107.6 yards per contest, and Connor Heyward leads the way with 201 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 21 points and 353.3 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 61 tackles, Kenny Willekes has 5.5 sacks and Khari Willis has two interceptions.
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The Maryland Terrapins look for a fourth straight home win to become bowl eligible for the fourth time in the last six years. The Maryland Terrapins have split their last eight home games. Kasim Hill is completing 52.6 percent of his passes for 966 yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions. Hill has one or less touchdown passes in eight of his 11 career games. Taivon Jacobs and Jeshaun Jones have combined for 388 receiving yards and five touchdowns while DJ Turner has 13 receptions. The Maryland Terrapins ground game is averaging 246.2 yards per contest, and Anthony McFarland leads the way with 497 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Maryland is allowing 24.5 points and 337.8 yards per game. Tre Watson leads the Maryland Terrapins with 78 tackles, Byron Cowart has three sacks and Darnell Savage Jr. has four interceptions.
The Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. The Terrapins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 4-12 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. The over is 10-4 in Terrapins last 14 conference games and the under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
The Michigan State Spartans continue this up and down style of play, but that could change now that Rocky Lombardi is in at quarterback, as he gave MSU an actual passing game and was the difference in beating Purdue last week. The Maryland Terrapins are coming off a 30-point beatdown over Illinois and are outscoring teams by 16.3 points at home this season. The Michigan State Spartans have failed to cover five of their last seven games when a favorite of at least three points. The Maryland Terrapins have failed to cover six of their last nine games when an underdog of at least three points. Michigan State is probably the better, more balanced team, but Maryland is a scoring machine at home and has done a fine job of steeping up when playing teams they probably shouldn't beat. The Terps are more than capable of winning this game, so I want my free field goal.