UMass vs. Liberty - 11/3/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Liberty Flames (4-3) at Massachusetts Minutemen (3-6)
College Football: Saturday, November 3, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium)
The Line: Massachusetts Minutemen -3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Liberty Flames and the UMASS Minutemen meet in a week 10 college football matchup from Warren P. McGuirk Alumni Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The Liberty Flames will look to build on back-to-back wins including a 48-41 win over Idaho State in their last outing. Stephen Calvert has thrown for 2,256 yards, 16 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 57.1% passing while Frankie Hickson and Peytton Pickett have combined for rush for 852 yards and 14 touchdowns this season. Antonio Gandy-Golden leads the Flames in receiving with 42 grabs for 639 yards and 7 touchdowns while D.J. Stubbs has 550 receiving yards on 39 receptions and B.J. Farrow has added 404 yards and 4 touchdowns this season. As a team, Liberty is averaging 475.9 yards of total offense, including the 9th-most passing yards per game with 331.3 per game and 33.7 points per game this season.
David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports
The UMASS Minutemen will look to string some wins together after losing 6 of their last 8 games but did come out on top in a 22-17 decision against Connecticut in their last outing. Ross Comis has thrown for 823 yards, 8 touchdowns and 1 interception while Marquis Young has rushed for 546 yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Andy Isabella leads the Minutemen’s receiving corps with 67 catches for 1,090 yards and 9 touchdowns this season. As a team, UMASS is averaging 422.3 yards of total offense and 32.1 points per game this season.
Liberty is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win. UMASS is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on turf while the over is 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
This should be a solid matchup but between the two sides I still have trust issues with UMASS without their starting quarterback in Andrew Ford, who’s out for the season with a torn MCL. All of the high scoring games with the Minutemen came with Ford under center and while they got the win, UMASS only hung up 22 points and barely scraped by a below average UCONN team. Liberty has been involved in some shootouts but have the offense to get the job done so I’ll take the free field goal with the Flames here.