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Oregon vs. UCLA - 11/3/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UCLA Bruins (2-6) at Oregon Ducks (5-3)

College Football: Saturday, November 3, 2018 at 7:30 pm (Autzen Stadium)

The Line: Oregon Ducks -13 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

The UCLA Bruins will travel to Autzen Stadium to take on the Oregon Ducks this Saturday night in College Football action.

The UCLA Bruins had their two game winning streak snapped an dropped to 2-6 (2-3 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the 23rd ranked Utah Utes, 41-10, this past Saturday. UCLA was able to keep this one close and trailed just by 10 at halftime thanks to some big red zone stops, however, the Bruins had on answers for the Utes in the 2nd half and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 31-7 margin with 9:44 left in the 3rd quarter. UCLA was outgained by a 470-291 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Bruins was RB Joshua Kelley who had 90 rushing yards and a TD on 16 carries. On the season, UCLA is averaging 21.3 ppg on 346.1 total yards per game (198.6 passing yds/g; 147.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, UCLA has been led by RB Joshua Kelley who has 6 TD’s on the season while averaging 94.1 rushing yds/g on 17.1 att/g. Wilson Speight is once against behind center after freshman Dorian Thompson-Robinson hurt his shoulder and has missed the last two weeks action. Speight has completed 57.0% of his passes on the season for 2 TD & 3 INT while averaging 137.7 passing yds/g. The top receivers for the Bruins have been Caleb Wilson (4.3 rec/g; 59.9 yds/g; TD), Theo Howard (4.3 rec/g; 52.8 yds/g; 2 TD), and Demetric Felton (1.9 rec/g; 20.9 yds/g; TD). Defensively, UCLA is allowing their opponents to average 32.5 ppg on 431.0 total yards per game (221.8 passing yds/g; 209.3 rushing yds/g).

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Oregon vs. UCLA - 11/3/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

The Oregon Ducks lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 5-3 (2-3 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the Arizona Wildcats, 44-15, this past Saturday. Oregon looked flat on both ends of the ball throughout the game and couldn’t fight back after Arizona took a 30-8 lead with 10:30 left in the 3rd quarter. Oregon was outgained by Arizona by a 465-270 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Ducks was WR Dillon Mitchell who had 69 receiving yards and a TD on 6 receptions. On the season, Oregon is averaging 36.6 ppg on 436.9 total yards per game (262.0 passing yds/g; 174.9 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Oregon has been led by QB Justin Herbert who has completed 59.6% of his passes for 20 TD & 6 INT while averaging 258.6 passing yds/g. The top receiving targets for Herbert and the Ducks have been Dillon Mitchell (6.0 rec/g; 84.6 yds/g; 4 TD), Jaylon Redd (2.8 rec/g; 33.9 yds/g; 5 TD), Jacob Breeland (2.4 rec/g; 34.3 yds/g; 2 TD), and Jacob Breeland (1.4 rec/g; 23.1 yds/g; 4 TD). Leading the way for the Oregon backfield has been the RB duo of CJ Verdell (14.4 att/g; 75.0 yds/g; 4 TD) and Travis Dye (8.6 att/g; 42.4 yds/g; 2 TD). Defensively, Oregon is allowing their opponents to average 28.4 ppg on 379.5 total yards per game (243.3 passing yds/g; 136.3 rushing yds/g)

The Bruins are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 conference games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Ducks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.

UCLA was able to pick up a couple of nice wins against California and Arizona recently however, they were no match for Utah in another blowout loss the Bruins have suffered this season. Oregon picked up a huge win in their last home game agianst Washington but has looked like a different team since as they put back to back lackluster performances against Washington State and Arizona. Oregon seems like they were a bit overrated after their victory agianst Washington and as I think UCLA offense has actually improved recently, I think the Bruins will do enough on the road here to at worse, cover with the points. 

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