Troy vs. Louisiana-Lafayette - 11/3/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (4-4) at Troy Trojans (6-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 3, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Veterans Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Troy Trojans -10.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns will travel to Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) to take on the Troy Trojans this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns improved to 4-4 (2-2 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 47-43, this past Saturday. In what was a back and forth game that saw 35 combined points scored in the 1st quarter, Louisiana was able to secure the win late after taking the lead for good on a 2-Yard rushing TD by Trey Ragas with just 1:18 left in regulation. The Ragin’ Cajuns outgained the Red Wolves by a 547-478 margin however, did lose the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Ragin’ Cajuns was RB Elijah Mitchell who had 68 rushing yards and a TD on 4 carries while also hauling in 121 receiving yards and a TD on 6 receptions. On the season, Louisiana is averaging 34.1 ppg on 465.8 total yards per game (233.6 passing yds/g; 232.1 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Louisiana has been led by the RB duo of Trey Ragas (15.8 att/g; 91.8 yds/g; 6 TD) and Elijah Mitchell (9.4 att/g; 70.6 yds/g; 8 TD). QB Andre Nunez has completed 67.4% of his passes for 13 TD & 6 INT while averaging 185.4 passing yds/g. The top receivers for the Ragin’ Cajuns have been Ja’Marcus Bradley (2.5 rec/g; 39.3 yds/g; 6 TD), Ryheem Malone (3.5 rec/g; 35.5 yds/g; 2 TD), Jarrod Jackson (1.6 rec/g; 31.0 yds/g; 3 TD), and Keenan Barnes (3.0 rec/g; 41.5 yds/g; TD). Defensively, Louisiana is allowing their opponents to average 36.8 ppg on 462.1 total yards per game (240.3 passing yds/g; 221.9 rushing yds/g).
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The Troy Trojans improved to 6-2 (4-0 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the South Alabama Jaguars, 38-17 on Tuesday, October 23rd. Troy jumped all over South Alabama from the start in this one and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 31-10 lead with 7:08 left in the 2nd quarter. Troy outgained South Alabama by a 410-385 margin and won the turnover battle by a 3-2 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Trojans was RB B.J. Smith who had 170 rushing yards and a TD on 22 carries. On the season, Troy is averaging 34.3 ppg on 413.1 total yards per game (199.9 passing yds/g; 213.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Troy has been led by RB B.J. Smith (14.5 att/g; 94.6 yds/g; 9 TD). Troy lost their starting OB Kaleb Barker due to a knee injury in early October and now have Sawyer Smith behind center. On the season, Smith has completed 58.7% of his passes for 506 yards, 7 TD & 4 INT. The top receivers for the Trojans have been Damion Willis (3.8 rec/g; 63.1 yds/g; 7 TD), Deondre Douglas (4.4 rec/g; 44.3 yds/g; 6 TD), Sidney Davis (2.4 rec/g; 23.8 yds/g; 2 TD), and Tray Eafford (2.3 rec/g; 20.5 yds/g; 2 TD). Defensively, Troy is holding their opponents to an average of 23.6 ppg on 373.5 total yards per game (243.5 passing yds/g; 130.0 rushing yds/g).
The Ragin’ Cajuns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 23-10 ATS in their last 33 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Trojans are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Louisiana comes into this game winning 3 of their last 4 games and certainly has some offensive talent, however, the Ragin Cajuns have one agianst been lit up on the defensive end and come into this game ranked just t-117th in scoring defense. Troy suffered a tough blow when they lost Kaleb Barker a few weeks ago, however, still has to be considered one of the favorites in the Sun Belt as their offense can still put up points and they have solid defense that ranks 54th in CFB in total defense. Louisiana was able to recently play Appalachian State tough on the road, however, I think Troy is just the better team on both ends of the ball and as they’ve defeated Sun Belt opponents this season by an average of 17.5 points, I think the Trojans due enough at home to cover this spread.