Buffalo vs. Kent State - 11/6/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kent State Golden Flashes (2-7) at Buffalo Bulls (8-1)
College Football: Tuesday, November 6, 2018 at 7:30 pm (UB Stadium)
The Line: Buffalo Bulls -22.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The Kent State Golden Flashes will travel to UB Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bulls this Tuesday night in College Football action.
The Kent State Golden Flashes snapped a 6-game losing streak and improved to 2-7 (1-4 MAC) on the season after defeating the Bowling Green Falcons, 35-28, this past Tuesday. In a tight back and forth game, Kent State was able to hold off the Falcons late after a Jo-El Shaw 18-yard TD run with 1:50 left in regulation gave the Golden Flashes the lead for good. Kent State outgained Bowling Green by a 382-317 margin and forced a turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Golden Flashes was RB Jo-El Shaw who had 128 rushing yards and 2 TD’s on 26 carries. On the season, Kent State is averaging 24.3 ppg on 392.8 total yards per game (215.2 passing yds/g; 177.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Kent State has been led by QB Woody Barrett who has completed 60.3% of his passes for 10 TD & 8 INT while averaging 211.7 passing yds/g. Barrett also is a threat with his legs as he has 6 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 50.6 yds/g on 15.1 att/g. The top receiving threats for the Golden Flashes have been Mike Carrigan (3.7 rec/g; 46.3 yds/g; 3 TD), Isaiah McKoy (4.3 rec/g; 43.8 yds/g; 2 TD), and Antwan Dixon (4.2 rec/g; 43.6 yds/g; 2 TD). Leading the way for the Kent State backfield has been the duo of Justin Rankin (13.6 att/g; 70.0 yds/g; 4 TD) and Jo-El Shaw (10.1 att/g; 47.4 yds/g; 5 TD). Rankin is currently questionable for this game due to a concussion. Defensively, Kent State is allowing their opponents to average 34.2 ppg on 470.7 total yards per game (285.8 passing yds/g; 184.9 rushing yds/g).
Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports
The Buffalo Bulls won their 4th consecutive game and improved to 8-1 (5-0 MAC) on the season after defeating the Miami-Ohio RedHawks, 51-42, this past Tuesday. Buffalo allowed the RedHawks to score 21 points in the 3rd quarter to make it a 42-42 game, however, the defensive picked it up when it mattered down the stretch and put the game away with a 37-yard FG by Adam Mitcheson with just 3:54 left in regulation. Buffalo outgained Miami-Ohio by a 505-453 margin and didn’t commit any turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Bulls was WR Anthony Johnson who had 238 receiving yards and 3 TD’s on 8 receptions. On the season, Buffalo is averaging 34.9 ppg on 421.7 total yards per game (248.7 passing yds/g; 173.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Buffalo has been led by QB Tyree Jackson who has completed 56.8% of his passes for 23 TD & 8 INT while averaging 247.4 passing yds/g. Jackson doesn’t run as much as he used to but certainly can find the endzone when needed as he has 5 rushing TD’s on the season. The top receivers targets for Jackson and the Bulls have been K.J. Osborn (49 rec/g; 81.1 yds/g; 6 TD), Anthony Johnson (4.0 rec/g; 4.1 yds/g; 8 TD), and Charlie Jones (1.3 rec/g; 31.2 yds/g; 3 TD). Leading the way for the Bulls backfield has been the duo of Kevin Marks (12.6 att/g; 64.3 yds/g; 7 TD) and Jaret Patterson (12.6 att/g; 64.0 yds/g; 8 TD). Defensively, Buffalo is allowing their opponents to average 23.4 ppg on 345.0 total yards per game (184.4 passing yds/g; 160.6 rushing yds/g).
The Golden Flashes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall however, are just 6-13 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. The Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
Kent State picked up a much needed win last week however, Bowling Green is one of the worst teams in the MAC so it’s important that we don’t read too much into their victory. Buffalo is having one of the best seasons in the programs history and as I just don’t see the Kent State defense being able to slow down the Bulls offensive on the road, I’m taking Buffalo to win comfortably in this one and cover this large home spread.