Boise State vs. Fresno State - 11/9/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Fresno State Bulldogs (8-1) at Boise State Broncos (7-2)
College Football: Friday, November 9, 2018 at 10:15 pm (Albertsons Stadium)
The Line: Boise State Broncos +2 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
The 23rd ranked Fresno State Bulldogs will travel to Albertsons Stadium to take on the Boise State Broncos this upcoming Friday night in College Football action.
The 23rd ranked Fresno State Bulldogs won their 7th straight game and improved to 8-1 (5-0 MW) on the season after defeating the UCLA Rebels, 48-3, this past Saturday. Fresno State dominated UNLV on both sides of the football and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 31-0 lead with 8:22 left in regulation. Fresno State outgained UNLV by a 466-302 margin and forced UNLV into committing one turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was QB Marcus McMaryion who completed 26 of 35 passes for 274 yards, 2 TD, and an INT. On the season, Fresno State is averaging 40.4 ppg on 431.3 total yards per game (280.8 passing yds/g; 150.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, the Bulldogs have been led by Marcus McMaryion who has completed 70.9% of his passes for 20 TD & 3 INT while averaging 268.4 passing yds/g. McMaryion has also done a nice job finding the endzone with his legs as he has 7 rushing TD’s on the season. The top receivers for the Bulldogs have been KeeSean Johnson (6.9 rec/g; 95.3 yds/g; 6 TD), Jared Rice (4.2 rec/g; 53.0 yds/g; 3 TD), and Jamire Jordan (2.2 rec/g; 31.0 yds/g; 2 TD). Leading the way for the Fresno State backfield has been Jordan Mims (9.8 att/g; 34.0 yds/g; 4 TD) and Ronnie Rivers (7.5 att/g; 44.2 yds/g; 5 TD). Defensively, Fresno State is holding their opponents to an average of 12.3 ppg on 307.0 total yards per game (178.2 passing yds/g; 128.8 rushing yds/g).
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The Boise State Broncos won their 4th straight game and improved to 7-2 (4-1 MW) on the season after defeating the BYU Cougars, 21-16, this past Saturday. Boise State was able to take a 21-13 lead late in the 3rd quarter and was able to hang on for the victory after the Broncos defense came up big late in the game with a goal line stand against the Cougars. Boise State was outgained by BYU by a 388-327 margin however, won the turnover battle by a 3-2 margin. Leading the way for the Broncos was RB Alexander Mattison who had 89 rushing yards & 2 TD’s on 25 carries. On the season, Boise State is averaging 38.0 ppg on 468.7 total yards per game (318.9 passing yds/g; 149.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Boise State has been led by QB Brett Rypien who has completed 67.7% of his passes for 24 TD & 7 INT while averaging 308.8 passing yds/g. The top receiving threats for Rypien and Boise State have been Sean Modster (5.0 rec/g; 73.3 yds/g; 4 TD), A.J. Richardson (4.3 rec/g; 72.6 yds/g; 8 TD), and John Hightower (3.3 rec/g; 55.1 yds/g; 6 TD). Leading the way for the Boise State backfield has been Alexander Mattison who has 10 TD’s on the season while averaging 80.7 yds/g on 19.4 att/g. Defensively, Boise State is allowing their opponents to average 23.7 ppg on 362.4 total yards per game (234.4 passing yds/g; 128.0 rushing yds/g).
The Bulldogs are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 road games and 25-4-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss however, are just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 home games.
Boise State didn’t look that great agianst a solid BYU defense at home and things are not going to get any easier for the Broncos as they face a Bulldogs defense that ranks T-2nd in scoring defense in the country. Boise State has a decent defense however, they do rank just 74th in passing defense which the Bulldogs Marcus McMaryion should be able to take advantage of. Fresno State fell to Boise State last year at Albertsons Stadium in the Mountain West finals however, I think the Bulldogs are just the better team on both ends of the football and as long as they limit the damage done by Brett Rypien, I think they cover this small road spread. Take Fresno State to cover.