Central Michigan vs. Bowling Green - 11/10/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Bowling Green Falcons (1-8) at Central Michigan Chippewas (1-9)
College Football: Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 3:00 pm (Kelly/Shorts Stadium)
The Line: Central Michigan Chippewas -7.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Bowling Green Falcons will travel to Kelly/Shorts Stadium to take on the Central Michigan Chippewas this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Bowling Green Falcons lost their 6th straight game and dropped to 1-8 (0-5 MAC) on the season after being defeated by the Kent State Golden Flashes, 35-28, this past Tuesday. Bowling Green was able to tie the game at 28-all with just 5:34 left in regulation however, the defense didn’t have any answers for the Golden Flashes offense late and allowed Kent State to score the game winning TD with just 1:50 left in regulation. Bowling Green was outgained by Kent State by a 382-317 margin and committed one turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Falcons was QB Jarret Doege who completed 20 of 27 passes for 207 yards, 3 TD’s and an INT. On the season, Bowling Green is averaging 25.9 ppg on 371.0 total yards per game (266.3 passing yds/g; 104.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Bowling Green has been led by QB Jarret Doege who has completed 62.7% of his passes for 23 TD & 9 INT while averaging 253.9 passing yds/g. The top receivers for Doege and the Falcons have been Scott Miller (6.8 rec/g; 107.5 yds/g; 7 TD), Quintin Morris (3.9 rec/g; 49.9 yds/g; 6 TD), RB Marlow III (3.1 rec/g; 36.8 yds/g; 2 TD), and Deric Phouthavong (4.0 rec/g; 42.8 yds/g; 3 TD). Leading the way for the Bowling Green backfield has been Andrew Clair who has 4 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 61.9 yds/g on 13.1 att/g. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing their opponents to average 46.3 ppg on 500.7 total yards per game (179.8 passing yds/g; 320.9 rushing yds/g).
Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports
The Central Michigan Chippewas los their 3th straight game and dropped to 1-9 (0-6 MAC) on the season after being defeated by the Eastern Michigan Eagles, 17-7, this past Saturday. Central Michigan couldn’t get anything going on the offensive end against the Eagles defense and allowed Eastern Michigan to pull away in the 4th quarter after a 26-yard FG by the Eagles Chad Ryland gave Eastern Michigan a two possession lead. Central Michigan was outgained by a 349-138 margin and committed 4 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Chippewas was DL Mike Danna who did the only scoring for the Chippewas with a 68-YD fumble return for a TD. On the season, Central Michigan is averaging just 15.4 ppg on 272.0 total yards per game (138.7 passing yds/g; 133.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Central Michigan has been led by QB Tommy Lazzaro who has completed 48.2% of his passes from 5 TD & 10 INT while averaging 118.5 passing yds/g. Lazzaro is also the leading rusher for the Chippewas as he has 3 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 63.5 rushing yds/g on 16.2 att/g. The top receivers for the Chippewas has been Julian Hicks who had 3 receiving TD’s on the season while averaging 31.4 yds/g on 3.1 rec/g. In the backfield for Central Michigan has been Romello Ross who had 2 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 54.3 yds/g on 11.2 att/g. Defensively, Central Michigan is allowing their opponents to average 25.3 ppg on 347.1 total yards per game (148.6 passing yds/g; 198.5 rushing yds/g).
The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss and just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Chippewas are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
This is not going to be the most exciting of matchups this season however, at least one of these teams will have a conference win after this one is over. Central Michigan has been competitive over the last two weeks on the road agianst Akron and Eastern Michigan and although their offense ranks just 129th in scoring offense, they will have a chance to finally put up some points on the board agianst a Bowling Green defense that ranks just 129th in scoring defense. Central Michigan should have some success agianst the Bowling Green passing game and although it’s hard to take a team that is ranked next to last in College Football in scoring that is favored by more than a TD, that’s what I’m going to do as I think Chippewas win by double digits at home in this one.