Iowa State vs. Baylor - 11/10/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baylor Bears (5-4) at Iowa State Cyclones (5-3)
College Football: Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Jack Trice Stadium)
The Line: Iowa State Cyclones -14 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Baylor Bears will travel to Jack Trice Stadium to take on the 24th ranked Iowa State Cyclones this upcoming Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Baylor Bears snapped their 2-game losing streak and improved to 5-4 (3-3 Big 12) on the season after defeating the Oklahoma State Cowboys, 35-31, this past Saturday. Baylor trailed Oklahoma State by a 31-21 margin with under six minutes left in regulation, however, was able to fight back and win the game on a 6-yard TD pass by Charlie Brewer with just :07 seconds left in regulation. Baylor was outgained by Oklahoma State by a 513-402 margin and forced one Cowboys turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the bears was QB Charlie Brewer who although didn’t play the first three quarters as he was coming off a head injury, was inserted game in the 4th quarter and led the Bears to two consecutive TD drives. On the season, Baylor is averaging 31.2 ppg on 446.0 total yards per game (284.0 passing yds/g; 162.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Baylor has been led by QB Charlie Brewer who has completed 60.2% of his passes for 12 TD & 6 INT while averaging 208.4 passing yds/g. The top receiving threats for the Brewer and the Bears have been Jalen Hurd (6.3 rec/g; 84.0 yds/g; 4 TD), Denzel Mims (4.8 rec/g; 70.5 yds/g; 5 TD), Chris Platt (2.7 rec/g; 32.8 yds/g; TD), and Tyquan Thornton (1.4 rec/g; 23.4 yds/g; 2 TD). Leading the way for the Bears backfield has been the duo of JaMycal Hasty (7.6 att/g; 40.1 yds/g; 3 TD) and John Lovett (7.1 att/g; 44.6 yds/g; 4 TD). Defensively, Baylor is allowing their opponents to average 34.0 ppg on 437.3 total yards per game (247.0 passing yds/g; 190.3 rushing yds/g).
Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
The 24th ranked Iowa State Cyclones won their 4th straight game and improved to 5-3 (4-2 Big 12) on the season after defeating the Kansas Jayhawks, 27-3, this past Saturday. Iowa State dominated this game from start to finish and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 17-0 lead early in the 2nd quarter. Iowa State outgained Kansas by a 394-332 margin and didn’t commit a turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Cyclones was WR Hakeem Butler who had 164 receiving yards and 2 TD’s on 5 receptions. On the season, Iowa State is averaging 26.9 ppg on 372.1 total yards per game (242.9 passing yds/g; 129.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Iowa State has been led by QB Brock Purdy who has been outstanding since taking over the starting duties 4 weeks ago as the freshman has completed 66.3% of his passes for 12 TD & 2 INT while averaging 217.0 passing yds/g. Purdy and the Cyclones have an outstanding WR group led by Hakeem Butler (4.1 rec/g; 98.9 yds/g; 8 TD), Tarique Milton (3.4 rec/g; 39.8 yds/g; TD), and Deshaunte Jones (3.9 rec/g; 32.9 yds/g; 2 TD). Leading the way for the Cyclones backfield has been David Montgomery who had 6 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 101.7 rushing yds/g on 22.6 att/g. Defensively, Iowa State is holding their opponents to average of 21.3 ppg on 324.4 total yards per game (219.5 passing yds/g; 104.9 rushing yds/g).
The Bears are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The Cyclones are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win and 24-6-1 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
Baylor is a much improved team from what we saw last season and should come into this game has a great passing attack, led by Charlie Brewer, that ranks 22nd in the country. Iowa State is playing their best football of the season as not only their offense looks outstanding with Brock Purdy under center, their defense has also been solid as they rank 27th in the country in scoring defense. This is a lot of points to give a Baylor team that can do damage in the air, however, Iowa State is a very difficult team to play when their at home and as I think their offense will have their way with a Baylor defense that ranks 104th in scoring defense, I’m taking the Cyclones to cover this large spread.