Michigan State vs. Ohio State - 11/10/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Ohio State Buckeyes (8-1) at Michigan State Spartans (6-3)
College Football: Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 12:00 pm (Spartan Stadium)
The Line: Michigan State Spartans +3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday in college football action at Spartan Stadium.
The Ohio State Buckeyes look for their ninth win of the season to remain in Big Ten and college football playoff conversations. The Ohio State Buckeyes have won seven of their last 10 road games. Dwayne Haskins is completing 69.7 percent of his passes for 3,053 yards, 32 touchdowns and six interceptions. Haskins has three or more touchdown passes in six of his nine games this season. K.J. Hill and Parris Campbell have combined for 1,326 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Terry McLaurin has 21 receptions. The Ohio State Buckeyes ground game is averaging 178.1 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 684 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Ohio State is allowing 23.8 points and 397.3 yards per game. Jordan Fuller leads the Ohio State Buckeyes with 48 tackles, Dre'Mont Jones has 6.5 sacks and Kendall Sheffield has two interceptions.
Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
The Michigan State Spartans look for a third straight victory and their second win of the season over a ranked team. The Michigan State Spartans have won seven of their last nine home games. Rocky Lombardi is completing 54 percent of his passes for 327 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions. Lombardi and Brian Lewerke have combined for 10 touchdown passes and nine interceptions this season. Felton Davis III and Cody White have combined for 794 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Darrell Stewart Jr. has 24 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 125.5 yards per contest, and Connor Heyward leads the way with 358 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 19 points and 325.1 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 68 tackles, Kenny Willekes has seven sacks and Khari Willis has two interceptions.
The Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games, 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in November and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Michigan State, the road team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings and the under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The over is 7-2 in Buckeyes last 9 road games and the under is 4-0 in Spartans last 4 games overall.
The Ohio State Buckeyes were rocked by Purdue and barely escaped last week against a bad Nebraska team, and now they go on the road for just the third time this season where they're being outscored by 14 points. The Michigan State Spartans have been an up and down team all year long, but they have won three of their last four games and the offense has shown more signs of life recently. The Ohio State Buckeyes have failed to cover each of their last five games when favored of at least three points. The Michigan State Spartans have covered 11 of their last 17 games when an underdog of at least three points. Four of the last seven meetings between Michigan State and Ohio State have been decided by three or less points. I said last week that OSU could be in trouble after the Purdue loss, and you can argue they were outplayed last week against Nebraska. Michigan State is a well coached team and tough defensively. I want the points in my pocket, as I don't like the vibes from Ohio State right now.