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Minnesota vs. Purdue - 11/10/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Purdue Boilermakers (5-4) at Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-5)

College Football: Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 3:30 pm (TCF Bank Stadium)

The Line: Minnesota Golden Gophers +12.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2

The Purdue Boilermakers and Minnesota Golden Gophers meet Saturday in college football action at TCF Bank Stadium.

The Purdue Boilermakers look for their third road win of the season while becoming bowl eligible for the fourth time in the last eight years. The Purdue Boilermakers have split their last eight road games. David Blough is completing 65.9 percent of his passes for 2,683 yards, 17 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Blough has three or more touchdown passes in five of his last seven games. Rondale Moore and Isaac Zico have combined for 1,412 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Brycen Hopkins has 27 receptions. The Purdue Boilermakers ground game is averaging 155.5 yards per contest, and D.J. Knox leads the way with 753 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Purdue is allowing 24.2 points and 427.9 yards per game. Markus Bailey leads the Purdue Boilermakers with 77 tackles, Jacob Thieneman has five sacks and Kenneth Major has three interceptions. 

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Minnesota vs. Purdue - 11/10/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Golden Gophers need a win after losing five of their last six games to increase their odds of a bowl berth. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have won six of their last eight home games. Zack Annexstad is completing 52.2 percent of his passes for 1,277 yards, nine touchdowns and seven interceptions. Annexstad and Tanner Morgan have combined for 14 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions this season. Tyler Johnson and Rashod Bateman have combined for 1,453 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns while Chris Autman-Bell has 20 receptions. The Minnesota Golden Gophers ground game is averaging 154 yards per contest, and Mohamed Ibrahim leads the way with 562 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 31.8 points and 423.9 yards per game. Blake Cashman leads the Minnesota Golden Gophers with 72 tackles, Carter Coughlin has nine sacks and Jacob Huff has two interceptions.

The Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Golden Gophers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 23-9-2 ATS in their last 34 games in November and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games. The Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the home team is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings. The under is 8-1 in Boilermakers last 9 road games and the over is 5-1 in Golden Gophers last 6 games overall.

The Purdue Boilermakers have scored 30 or more points in six of their last seven games and did a good job of putting that loss to Michigan State behind them. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have allowed 30 or more points in each of their last seven games and aren't good enough offensively to make up for those struggles. The Purdue Boilermakers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a double-digit favorite. The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a double-digit underdog. While this feels like a game Purdue could run away with, Minnesota has played its best ball at home this season where all four of its wins have come and where it's outscoring teams by 11.6 points. The Golden Gophers also need a win here to keep any chance of a bowl berth alive. I'll side with the points here.

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