Nevada vs. Colorado State - 11/10/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Colorado State Rams (3-6) at Nevada Wolf Pack (5-4)
College Football: Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 10:30 pm (Mackay Stadium)
The Line: Nevada Wolf Pack -13 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The Colorado State Rams will travel to Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack this upcoming Saturday night in College Football action.
The Colorado State Rams lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 3-6 (2-3 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Wyoming Cowboys on October 26th. Colorado State trailed by just a 3-0 margin at halftime however, had no answers for the Cowboys early in the 2nd half as Wyoming scored 3 quick TD’s early in 2nd half to take a 24-0 lead with 5:43 left in the 3rd quarter. Colorado State was outgained by Wyoming by a 407-353 margin and lost the turnover margin by a 3-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Rams was WR Preston Williams who had 126 receiving yards on 10 receptions. On the season, Colorado State is averaging 24.6 ppg on 413.7 total yards per game (310.3 passing yds/g; 103.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Colorado replaced QB K.J. Carta-Samuels (61.7 Comp %; 18 TD; 8 INT; 241.3 yds/g) with Collin Hill against Wyoming who although didn’t have any TD’s and threw 2 INT, finished the game completing 63.0% of his passes for 333 yards. The top receivers for the Rams have been Preston Williams (7.9 rec/g; 105.7 yds/g; 8 TD), Olabisi Johnson (4.8 rec/g; 66.8 yds/g; 4 TD), and Warren Jackson (3.7 rec/g; 47.4 yds/g; 4 TD). Leading the way for the Rams backfield has been Izzy Matthews (14.2 att/g; 58.8 yds/g; 3 TD) and Marvin Kinsley Jr. (7.9 att/g; 34.0 yds/g; 2 TD). Defensively, Colorado State is allowing 37.3 points per game on 444.8 total yd/g (237.2 passing yds/g; 207.6 rushing yds/g).
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The Nevada Wolf Pack won their 2nd straight game and improved to 5-4 (3-2 MW) on the season after defeating the San Diego State Aztecs, 28-24, on October 27th. Nevada went into halftime trailing by a 24-15 margin however, the Wolf Pack defense held the Aztecs scoreless in the 2nd half and was able to hang on for the victory after taking a 25-24 lead with 5:13 left in the 3rd quarter. Nevada was outgained by a 456-297 margin however, did win the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for the Wolf Pack was QB Ty Gangi who completed 23 of 43 passes for 235 passing yards and 2 TD’s. On the season, Nevada is averaging 32.1 ppg on 416.9 total yards per game (267.9 passing yds/g; 149.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Nevada has been led by QB Ty Gangi who has completed 59.3% of his passes for 16 TD & 7 INT while averaging 264.8 passing yds/g. The top receivers for Gangi and the Wolf Pack have been McLane Mannix (3.8 rec/g; 72.0 yds/g; 6 TD), Kaleb Fossum (6.2 rec/g; 66.2 yds/g), and Elijah Cooks (2.0 rec/g; 30.2 yds/g; 5 TD). Leading the way for the Wolf Pack backfield has been the duo of Toa Taua (11.6 att/g; 64.7 yds/g; 5 TD) and Kelton Moore (6.4 att/g; 27.7 yds/g; 3 TD). Defensively, Nevada is allowing their opponents to average 31.2 ppg on 407.8 total yards per game (264.2 passing yds/g; 143.6 rushing yds/g).
The Rams are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home however, are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Wolf Pack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
If you like offense, this should be a fun game to watch as both these teams like to throw the football and have struggled defensively agianst the pass as the Rams rank 78th in passing defense while Nevada ranks 108th. Colorado should be able to put up some points in this one however, the real concern is with their defense that ranks 119th in the country and as Nevada is solid at home, I think the Wolf Pack do enough in this one to cover this double-digit spread. I’m going with Nevada to cover and probably with put something on the over also!