Stanford vs. Oregon State - 11/10/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oregon State Beavers (2-7) at Stanford Cardinal (5-4)
College Football: Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 9:00 pm (Stanford Stadium)
The Line: Stanford Cardinal -22.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Pac-12 Networks
The Oregon State Beavers will travel to Stanford Stadium to take on the Stanford Cardinal this upcoming Saturday night in College Football action.
The Oregon State Beavers dropped to 2-7 (1-5 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the USC Trojans, 38-21, this past Saturday. Oregon State fought back to make it a one possession game going into the 4th quarter after trailing 21-0, however, the offensive struggled in the 4th quarter and the Beavers couldn’t fight back after a 62-YD TD run by USC’s Aca’Cedric Ware gave the Trojans a 35-21 lead with 11:53 left in regulation. Oregon State was outgained by Oregon State by a 509-332 margin however, didn’t commit a turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Beavers was QB Jake Luton who completed 31 of 45 passes for 301 yards and a TD. On the season, Oregon State is averaging 28.7 ppg on 417.1 total yards per game (249.2 passing yds/g; 167.9 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Oregon State has been led by RB Jermar Jefferson who has 12 TD’s on the season while averaging 121.3 rushing yds/g on 20.0 att/g. RB Artavis Pierce has also been solid out of the Beavers backfield as he has 4 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 58.3 yds/g on 7.7 att/g. QB Jake Luton has completed 67.4% of his passes for 5 TD & 1 INT while averaging 196.6 passing yds/g. The top receivers for the Beavers have been Isaiah Hodgins (5.6 rec/g; 82.6 yds/g; 4 TD), Timmy Hernandez (5.1 rec/g; 56.4 yds/g; TD), and Trevon Bradford (5.3 rec/g; 49.5 yds/g; 5 TD). Defensively, Oregon State is allowing their opponents to average 44.8 ppg on 536.9 total yards per game (262.3 passing yds/g; 274.6 rushing yds/g).
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The Stanford Cardinal lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 5-4 (3-3 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the Washington Huskies, 27-23, this past Saturday. Stanford fought back from a 21-0 halftime deficit to make it game late, however, the Cardinal comeback attempt came up short after K.J. Castello’s Hail Mary attempt as time expired was intercepted. Stanford outgained Washington by a 424-371 margin however, lost the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin. Leading the way for the Cardinal was WR Kaden Smith who had 107 yards and a TD on 8 receptions. On the season, Stanford is averaging 26.1 ppg on 372.2 total yards per game (279.1 passing yds/g; 93.1 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Stanford has been led by QB K.J. Costello who has completed 67.0% of his passes for 19 TD & 9 INT while averaging 279.1 passing yds/g. The top receivers for Castello and the Cardinal have been JJ Arcega-Whiteside (5.3 rec/g; 83.8 yds/g; 11 TD), Kaden Smith (4.9 rec/g; 66.8 yds/g; 2 TD), Trenton Irwin (5.1 rec/g; 55.8 yds/g; TD), and Colby Parkinson (1.9 rec/g; 27.1 yds/g; 3 TD). Leading the way for the Stanford backfield has been RB Bryce Love who has 4 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 70.0 yds/g on 15.9 att/g. Defensively, Stanford is allowing their opponents to average 23.7 ppg on 411.4 total yards per game (266.3 passing yds/g; 145.1 rushing yds/g).
The Beavers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games and just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Cardinal are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games however, are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS win.
Oregon State has one of the worst defenses in the country as they rank just 128th in scoring defense, however, the Beavers have been able to generate some decent offense this season and have been competitive over the last two weeks. Stanford has lost 4 of their last 5 games and although the offense is solid, the Cardinal defense has really struggled this season and ranks just 77th in total defense. The Beavers passing attack has looked much better since Jake Luton has returned and although Stanford and their main offensive weapons could have a big day, I think Oregon State doesn’t enough on their offense end to cover with this many points.