Tennessee vs. Kentucky - 11/10/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kentucky Wildcats (7-2) at Tennessee Volunteers (4-5)
College Football: Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Neyland Stadium)
The Line: Tennessee Volunteers +3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Kentucky Wildcats and Tennessee Volunteers meet Saturday in college football action at Neyland Stadium.
The Kentucky Wildcats look for a third road victory, as they have a shot to win at least eight games for the first time since the 2007 season. The Kentucky Wildcats have won five of their last eight road games. Terry Wilson is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 1,214 yards, six touchdowns and six interceptions. Wilson has one or less touchdown passes in seven straight games. Lynn Bowden Jr. and David Bouvier have combined for 679 receiving yards and five touchdowns while C.J. Conrad has 21 receptions. The Kentucky Wildcats ground game is averaging 199.5 yards per contest, and Benny Snell Jr. leads the way with 1,008 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Kentucky is allowing 15.3 points and 311.8 yards per game. Darius West leads the Kentucky Wildcats with 60 tackles, Josh Allen has 10 sacks and Tyrell Ajian has one interception.
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The Tennessee Volunteers look for back-to-back wins to get back to a .500 record and improve their chances at a bowl berth. The Tennessee Volunteers have split their last eight home games. Jarrett Guarantano is completing 65.6 percent of his passes for 1,571 yards, nine touchdowns and two interceptions. Guarantano has three touchdown passes and zero interceptions in his last three games. Josh Palmer and Marquez Callaway have combined for 816 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Jauan Jennings has 26 receptions. The Tennessee Volunteers ground game is averaging 127.6 yards per contest, and Tim Jordan leads the way with 414 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 26.7 points and 368.4 yards per game. Daniel Bituli leads the Tennessee Volunteers with 57 tackles, Kyle Phillips has three sacks and Bryce Thompson has three interceptions.
The Wildcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games, 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games in November and 1-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Volunteers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November. The Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Tennessee, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the favorite is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
The Kentucky Wildcats failed in their attempt to prove they're ready to be SEC contenders in a loss to Georgia, but they've been one of the more consistent and surprising teams in the coutnry this season. The Tennessee Volunteers have really struggled on the offensive side of the ball this season and it's not easy to compete in the SEC when you can't run the football. The Kentucky Wildcats have failed to cover each of their last 10 games when a favorite of at least three points. The Tennessee Volunteers have covered three of their last four games when an underdog of at least three points. With all that said, I'll take the Vols at home and the free points. Kentucky hasn't covered a game as a favorite of at least three points in over two years. The Vols have won eight of the last 10 meetings against Kentucky. The Tennessee Volunteers also need this game if they want a real shot of clinching a bowl berth. I'll take my chances with the points.