USC vs. California - 11/10/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
California Golden Bears (5-4) at USC Trojans (5-4)
College Football: Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 10:30 pm (Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum)
The Line: USC Trojans -5.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The California Golden Bears will travel to Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on the USC Trojans this upcoming Saturday night in College Football action.
The California Golden Bears has their 2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 5-4 (2-4 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the 8th ranked Washington State Cougars, 19-13, this past Saturday. California did an outstanding job on the defensive end throughout the game however, with the game tied at 13-all late in the 4th quarter, the Golden Bears allowed the Cougars to seal the victory after a 10-yd TD catch by Easop Winston gave the Cougars a 19-13 lead with just :32 seconds left in regulation. California was outgained by Washington State by a 413-291 margin and committed 2 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Golden Bears was QB Chase Garbers who completed 15 of 26 passes for 127 yards, 1 TD, and an INT while also picking up 67 yards on the ground. On the season, California is averaging 23.6 ppg on 381.3 total yards per game (205.7 passing yds/g; 175.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, California has been led by RB Patrick Laird who has 5 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 77.8 yds/g on 17.8 att/g. Laird is also a threat in the passing game as he has 3 receiving TD’s on the season while averaging 27.9 yds/g on 4.2 rec/g. QB Chase Garbers has completed 64.7% of his passes for 10 TD & 5 INT while averaging 125.9 passing yds/g. The top receiving threats for the Garbers and the Golden Bears have been Vic Wharton III (4.4 rec/g; 43.8 yds/g), Kanawai Noa (3.5 rec/g; 40.8 yds/g; 2 TD), Moe Ways (2.4 rec/g; 28.6 yds/g), and Jordan Duncan (2.8 rec/g; 35.0 yds/g; 2 TD). Defensively, California is holding their opponents to an average of 21.9 ppg on 323.2 total yards per game (184.2 passing yds/g; 139.0 rushing yds/g).
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The USC Trojans snapped their 2-game losing streak and improved to 5-4 (4-3 Pac-12 South) on the season after defeating the Oregon State Beavers, 38-21, this past Saturday. USC allowed Oregon State to fight back into the game after they took a 21-0 lead midway through the 2nd, however, the Trojans defense was solid down the stretch and pulled away after a 62-yard TD run by Aca’Cedric Ware gave USC a 35-21 lead with 11:53 left in regulation. USC outgained Oregon State by a 509-332 margin and committed just one turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Trojans was Aca’Cedric Ware who had 205 rushing yards & 3 TD’s on 17 carries. On the season, USC is averaging 28.3 ppg on 380.2 total yards per game (235.9 passing yds/g; 144.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, USC has been led by QB JT Daniels who has completed 56.6% of his passes for 9 TD & 7 INT while averaging 225.8 passing yds/g. The top receiving targets for the Trojans have been Michael Pittman Jr. (3.0 rec/g; 62.3 yds/g; 6 TD), Amon-Ra St. Brown (4.2 rec/g; 56.1 yds/g; 2 TD), and Tyler Vaughns (4.1 rec/g; 49.3 yds/g; 3 TD). Leading the way for the USC backfield has been the trio of Aca’Cedric Ware (10.0 att/g; 69.7 yds/g; 6 TD), Stephen Carr (9.0 att/g; 42.7 yds/g; 6 TD), and Vavae Malepeai (6.8 att/g; 39.6 yds/g; 7 TD). Defensively, USC is allowing their opponents to average 27.9 ppg on 388.1 total yards per game (229.8 passing yds/g; 158.3 rushing yds/g.
The Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November. The Trojans are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November however, are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
California might be just 2-4 in Pac-12 play this season however, this is a solid football team with an underrated defense that ranks 31st in scoring defense and 19th in total defense. USC is loaded with young talent on the offensive end led by JT Daniels and with Utah losing Tyler Huntley last week, is right back in contention to win the Pac-12 South. It’s always tough to beat USC at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum however, California is an outstanding defensive team and as long as they limit turnovers which have played a major part in 3 of their 4 losses this season, I think the Golden Bears do enough in this one to cover with the points. Take California and the points.