Ball State vs. Western Michigan - 11/13/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Ball State vs. Western Michigan - 11/13/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

Western Michigan Broncos (6-4) at Ball State Cardinals (3-7)

College Football: Tuesday, November 13, 2018 at 6:00 pm (Scheumann Stadium)

The Line: Ball State Cardinals +8 -- Over/Under: 57.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Western Michigan Broncos will travel to Scheumann Stadium to take on the Ball State Cardinals this Tuesday night in College Football action.

The Western Michigan Broncos lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 6-4 (4-2 MAC) on the season after being defeated by the Ball State Cardinals, 59-14, this past Thursday. Western Michigan had a ton of issues protecting the football and the Broncos had no chance to fight back after they went into halftime trailing by a 45-0 margin. Western Michigan was outgained by a 420-270 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 6-0 margin. Leading the way for the Broncos was QB Kaleb Eleby who completed 10 of 19 passes for 152 yards, 1 TD, and 2 INT.

On the season, Western Michigan is averaging 32.9 ppg on 443.9 total yards per game (243.9 passing yds/g; 200.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Western Michigan is led by the backfield duo of LeVante Bellamy (14.0 att/g; 90.7 yds/g; 5 TD) & Jamauri Bogan (11.7 att/g; 53.4 yds/g; 11 TD). The Broncos passing attack will have to rely on QB Kaleb Eleby (70.2 Comp %; 3 TD; 2 INT; 148.3 yds/g) as Western Michigan lost QB Jon Wassink (61.6 Comp %; 16 TD; 6 INT; 221.6 passing yds/g). The top receiving targets for the Broncos have been Jayden Reed (4.6 rec/g; 66.7 yds/g; 8 TD) & D’Wayne Eskridge (3.5 rec/g; 72.1 yds/g; 3 TD).

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Defensively, Western Michigan is allowing their opponents to average 33.7 ppg on 393.1 total yards per game (207.4 passing yds/g; 185.7 rushing yds/g).

The Ball State Cardinals lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 3-7 (2-4 MAC) on the season after being defeated by the Toledo Rockets on October 31st. In a game that featured 10 total turnovers (5 from each side), the Ball State couldn’t fight back after Toledo took a 28-7 lead with 8:18 left in the 2nd quarter. Ball State was outgained by Toledo by a 531-437 margin. Leading the way for the Cardinals was QB Drew Plitt who completed 29 of 47 passes for 340 yards, 1 TD, and 2 INT.

On the season, Ball State is averaging 22.7 ppg on 417.2 total yards per game (251.4 passing yds/g; 165.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Ball State has been led by QB Riley Neal who has completed 57.9% of his passes for 11 TD & 4 INT while averaging 213.0 passing yds/g however, he is questionable for this game due to a knee injury. If Neal is unable to go, Drew Platt will once agianst replace him under center as the did against Toledo. The top receiving targets for the Cardinals have been Riley Miller (5.1 rec/g; 71.3 yds/g; 5 TD), Justin Hall (5.7 rec/g; 47.2 yds/g), and Corey Lacanaria (4.2 rec/g; 44.4 yds/g; 2 TD). The Ball State backfield has been led by James Gilbert (14.8 att/g; 65.1 yds/g; 5 TD) and Malik Dunner (5.2 att/g; 23.8 yds/g; 3 TD). Gilbert missed his last game against Toledo due to a back injury and is currently questionable for this matchup.

Defensively, Ball State is allowing their opponents to average 30.6 ppg on 433.2 total yards per game (217.9 passing yds/g; 215.3 rushing yds/g).

The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Cardinals are 19-40 ATS in their last 59 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Both teams have been really hurt by injuries and although Western Michigan has allowed 50+ points in each of their last two games, a lot of that was due to the offense giving opposing teams great field position due to turnovers. The line has yet to be released as both Ball State’s QB (Neal) and RB (Gilbert) are currently questionable however, even if they aren’t able to go, I saw enough out of Drew Plitt that will have me side with the Cardinals. Check back later when the line has been released.

Update (2:49 PM) - It looks as if Riely Neal is out for this game while Justin Gilbert is probable for the Cardinals. As I mentioned above, the Western Michigan defense has been lit up as of late and their offense hasn't been the same since losing QB Jon Wassink for the season. As Drew plitt showed that he can at least move the ball as he had 340 passing yds in his last game agianst Toledo, I think Ball State will be able to do enough at home in this one to cover with the points. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Brett’s Pick Ball State Cardinals +8

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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