Fresno State vs. San Diego State - 11/17/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Fresno State vs. San Diego State - 11/17/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

San Diego State Aztecs (7-3) at Fresno State Bulldogs (8-2)

College Football: Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 10:30 pm (Bulldog Stadium)

The Line: Fresno State Bulldogs -15 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The San Diego State Aztecs take on the Fresno State Bulldogs this Saturday night in week 12 MWC College Football action.

The San Diego State Aztecs dropped to 7-3 (4-2 MW) on the season after a shocking, 27-24, loss at home to the UNLV Rebels this past Saturday. San Diego State held a 24-13 lead entering the 4th quarter however, there defense couldn’t stop the Rebels when it mattered, and UNLV was able to secure the come from behind victory after scoring 14-unanswered points. San Diego State was outgained by UNLV by a 436-368 and committed two turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Aztecs was WR Tim Wilson Jr who had 123 receiving yards & 2 TD’s on 5 receptions.

On the season, San Diego State is averaging 22.4 ppg on 356.4 total yards per game on 356.4 total yards per game (190.3 passing yds/g; 166.1 rushing yds/g). Offensively, San Diego State has been led by the RB duo of Juwan Washington (21.8 att/g; 112.3 yds/g; 8 TD) & Chase Jasmin (13.4 att/g; 58.5 yds/g; 5 TD). QB Ryan Agnew has completed 51.9% of his passes for 8 TD & 5 INT while averaging 156.0 passing yds/g. The top receivers for Agnew and the Aztecs have been Tim Wilson Jr. (2.0 rec/g; 39.1 yds/g; 3 TD), Fred Trevillion (1.6 rec/g; 32.1 yds/g), and Kahale Warring (2.4 rec/g; 31.4 yds/g; 3 TD).

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Defensively, San Diego State is holding their opponents to an average of 20.7 ppg on 302.3 total yards per game (207.6 passing yds/g; 94.7 rushing yds/g).

The Fresno State Bulldogs had their 7-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 8-2 (5-1 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Boise State Broncos, 24-17, this past Saturday. Fresno State held a 17-3 lead early in the 3rd quarter, however, the offensive struggled down the stretch and the Bulldogs allowed Boise State to fight back for the come from behind victory after allowing 17 unanswered points. Fresno State was outgained by Boise State by a 448-390 margin and forced one turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was WR KeeSean Johnson who had 95 receiving yards and a TD on 8 receptions.

On the season, Fresno State is averaging 22.4 ppg on 356.4 total yards per game (190.3 passing yds/g; 166.1 rushing yds/g) Offensively, Fresno State has been led by QB Marcus McMaryion who has completed 70.6% of his passes for 21 TD & 3 INT while averaging 269.9 passing yds/g. McMaryion has also shown that he can do some damage with his legs as he has 7 rushing TD’s on the season. The top targets for McMaryion and the Bulldogs have been KeeSean Johnson (7.0 rec/g; 95.3 yds/g; 7 TD), Jared Rice (4.1 rec/g; 52.0 yds/g; 3 TD), and Jamire Jordan (2.1 rec/g; 28.5 yds/g; 2 TD). Leading the way for the Bulldogs backfield has been the duo of Jordan Mims (9.6 att/g; 32.3 yds/g; 4 TD) and Ronnie Rivers (7.4 att/g; 42.6 yds/g; 6 TD).

Defensively, Fresno State is holding their opponents to an average of 13.5 ppg on 321.1 total yards per game (187.3 passing yds/g; 133.8 rushing yds/g).

San Diego State has been a tough team to get a read on this season however, there is no questioning that their offense doesn’t have many weapons outside of Juwan Washington. Fresno State has to be disappointed that they couldn’t hold on to their lead at Boise State however, this is still a very talented team that has an accurate QB (McMaryion), a talented WR (Johnson) and a defense that ranks 5th in CFB in scoring defense. As I just can’t see San Diego State recovering quickly from that loss to UNLV, I think Fresno State has no trouble at home covering this large home spread.  

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Brett’s Pick Fresno State Bulldogs -15

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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