Illinois vs. Iowa - 11/17/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Illinois vs. Iowa - 11/17/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Iowa Hawkeyes (6-4) at Illinois Fighting Illini (4-6)

College Football: Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Memorial Stadium-Champaign)

The Line: Illinois Fighting Illini +15.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Iowa Hawkeyes and Illinois Fighting Illini meet Saturday in week 12 college football action at Memorial Stadium.

The Iowa Hawkeyes look for a victory to get back on track while snapping a three-game losing streak. The Iowa Hawkeyes have split their last four road games. Nate Stanley is completing 58.4 percent of his passes for 2,308 yards, 18 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Stanley has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last 10 games. T.J. Hockenson and Noah Fant have combined for 1,068 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Nick Easley has 39 receptions. The Iowa Hawkeyes ground game is averaging 147.5 yards per contest, and Toren Young leads the way with 480 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa is allowing 18.1 points and 285.9 yards per game. Jake Gervase leads the Iowa Hawkeyes with 65 tackles, A.J. Epenesa has seven sacks and Geno Stone has four interceptions. 

The Illinois Fighting Illini need a victory here to keep any hope alive of clinching a bowl appearance. The Illinois Fighting Illini have won three of their last five home games. AJ Bush Jr. is completing 54.7 percent of his passes for 1,050 yards, five touchdowns and seven interceptions. M.J. Rivers II and Bush have combined for eight touchdown passes and nine interceptions this season. Ricky Smalling and Trenard Davis have combined for 582 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Sam Mays has 22 receptions. The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 262.8 yards per contest, and Reggie Corbin leads the way with 1,011 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 38.6 points and 523.9 yards per game. Del'Shawn Phillips leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 81 tackles, Bobby Roundtree has 6.5 sacks and Jartavius Martin has three interceptions.

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The Hawkeyes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf, 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November. The Fighting Illini are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in November, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the home team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

The Iowa Hawkeyes are riding a rough three-game losing streak, but those losses have come by an average of four points. The Illinois Fighting Illini have won just two games since the month of October and have given up 46 or more points in five of their last seven games. The Iowa Hawkeyes have failed to cover six of their last nine games when favored by at least 14 points. The Illinois Fighting Illini have failed to cover their last four games when an underdog of at least 14 points. I tried to make a case for Illinois and the points here, as I don't like laying big chalk with teams struggling to win or teams in a funk. However, five of the six losses for the Fighting Illini have been blowout losses, so if you think Iowa wins here, you probably should eat the chalk. Iowa should be able to get the job done. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Iowa Hawkeyes -15.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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