Oregon vs. Arizona State - 11/17/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by The Arizona Republic-USA TODAY N
Arizona State Sun Devils (6-4) at Oregon Ducks (6-4)
College Football: Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 2:33 pm (Autzen Stadium)
The Line: Oregon Ducks -4 -- Over/Under:
TV: Pac-12 Networks
The Arizona State Sun Devils take on the Oregon Ducks this Saturday night at Autzen Stadium in week 12 Pac-12 College Football action.
The Arizona State Sun Devils won their 3rd straight game and improved to 6-4 (4-3 Pac-12) on the season after defeating the UCLA Bruins, 31-28, this past Saturday. Arizona State had a surprisingly difficult time with the UCLA offense in this one, however, the Sun Devils were able to pull away late after a 1-yd TD run by Manny Wilkins gave Arizona State a 31-21 lead with 3:56 left in regulation. Arizona State outgained UCLA by a 480-439 margin and forced 1 turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Sun Devils was RB Eno Benjamin who had 182 rushing yards and a TD on 34 carries.
On the season, Arizona State is averaging 29.9 ppg on 439.9 total yards per game (244.9 passing yds/g; 195.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arizona State has been led by RB Eno Benjamin who has 12 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 129.5 yds/g on 22.7 att/g. QB Manny Wilkins has completed 65.2% of his passes for 16 TD & 4 INT while averaging 244.9 passing yds/g. Wilkins can also get it done with his legs as he has 6 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 37.1 rushing yds/g. The top receivers for the Sun Devils have been N’Keal Henry (6.2 rec/g; 92.8 yds/g; 9 TD), Frank Darby (2.0 rec/g; 39.9 yds/g; TD), and Kyle Williams (3.3 rec/g; 36.4 yds/g; TD).
Defensively, Arizona State is allowing their opponents to average 23.0 ppg on 385.2 total yards per game (232.0 passing yds/g; 153.2 rushing yds/g).
The Oregon Ducks dropped to 6-4 (3-4 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the Utah Utes, 32-25, this past Saturday. Oregon’s defense couldn’t slow down a Utah offense that was without their starting QB (Tyler Huntley) or RB (Zach Moss) and allowed the Utes to secure the victory after scoring 10 unanswered points over the final 6:48 of regulation. Oregon was outgained by Utah by a 494-405 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Ducks was QB Justin Herbert who completed 20 of 33 passes for 288 yards & 3 TD.
On the season, Oregon is averaging 36.0 ppg on 439.2 total yards per game (267.6 passing yds/g; 171.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Oregon has been led by QB Justin Herbert who has completed 59.4% of his passes for 25 TD & 6 INT while averaging 262.1 passing yds/g. The top receiving targets for Herbert and the Ducks have been Dillon Mitchell (6.4 rec/g; 100.2 yds/g; 8 TD), Jacob Breeland (2.2 rec/g; 34.6 yds/g; 2 TD), and Jaylon Redd (2.3 rec/g; 27.5 yds/g; 5 TD). Leading the way for the Oregon backfield has been the trio of CJ Verdell (15.1 att/g; 71.8 yds/g; 5 TD), Travis Dye (8.3 att/g; 41.7 yds/g; 2 TD), and Tony Brooks-James (5.3 att/g; 29.4 yds/g; 4 TD).
Defensively, Oregon is allowing their opponents to average 28.0 ppg on 402.6 total yards per game (250.5 passing yds/g; 152.1 rushing yds/g).
Arizona State continues to win games behind solid offensive performances by Wilkins, Benjamin, and Henry and an underrated defense that ranks 57th in CFB in total defense. It’s been a tough last month for the Ducks as after picking up that huge home victory against Washington, the Ducks have lost 3 of their last 4 games while their defense has given up an average of 32.8 ppg. Oregon is a tough place to play and have one of the best QB’s in the country in Justin Herbert, however, the Sun Devils are just playing better football at the moment and I think they’ll at worse be able to cover with the points.