UCF vs. Cincinnati - 11/17/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UCF vs. Cincinnati - 11/17/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

Cincinnati Bearcats (9-1) at UCF Knights (9-0)

College Football: Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 8:00 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)

The Line: UCF Knights -7 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Cincinnati Bearcats and UCF Knights meet Saturday in week 12 AAC college football action at Spectrum Stadium.

The Cincinnati Bearcats look for their 10th victory of the season while remaining in the thick of the AAC chase. The Cincinnati Bearcats have won four of their last five road games. Desmond Ridder is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 1,897 yards, 15 touchdowns and five interceptions. Ridder has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. Kahlil Lewis and Rashad Medaris have combined for 919 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Josiah Deguara has 31 receptions. The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 235.8 yards per contest, and Michael Warren II leads the way with 1,082 yards and 17 touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 14.9 points and 279.8 yards per game. Malik Clements leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 49 tackles, Cortez Broughton has 4.5 sacks and James Wiggins has three interceptions.

The UCF Knights look for their 10th victory of the season while remaining in the college football playoff conversation. The UCF Knights haven’t lost a home game since December of 2016. McKenzie Milton is completing 60.2 percent of his passes for 2,309 yards, 21 touchdowns and five interceptions. Milton has two or more touchdown passes in 12 of his last 15 games. Gabriel Davis and Tre Nixon have combined for 1,018 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Dredrick Snelson has 32 receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 271.4 yards per contest, and Greg McCrae leads the way with 673 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing 21.2 points and 423.6 yards per game. Richie Grant leads the UCF Knights with 81 tackles, Brendon Hayes has three sacks and Nevelle Clarke has two interceptions.

Get the Experts BEST BETS For Today's Games

The Bearcats are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 conference games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November. The Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The under is 5-1 in Knights last 6 games overall and the under is 5-0 in Bearcats last 5 road games.

The Cincinnati Bearcats have been one of the more consistent teams in the AAC, and they're outscoring teams by an average of 20 points during their three-game winning streak. The UCF Knights winning streak is well documented and eight of their nine victories have come by double digits. The Cincinnati Bearcats have failed to cover nine of their last 12 games when an underdog of at least seven points. The UCF Knights have covered seven of their last 10 games when a favorite of at least seven points. The Cincinnati Bearcats are capable of winning this game, as they've been solid on both sides all year and their only loss was in overtime to a hot Temple team. However, the UCF Knights have been kind to us bettors during this winning stretch, and this is a chance for them to prove themselves to the playoff committee with this game being primetime on national TV. I'll back the trends here and take the UCF Knights to win by a touchdown.

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Randy’s Pick UCF Knights -7

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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