FIU vs. Toledo - 12/21/18 - Bahamas Bowl College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports
FIU Golden Panthers (8-4) at Toledo Rockets (7-5)
College Football: Friday, December 21, 2018 at 12:30 pm (Thomas Robinson Stadium)
The Line: Toledo Rockets -4.5 -- Over/Under: 59 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The FIU Panthers and the Toledo Rockets meet in the Bahamas Bowl from Thomas Robinson Stadium in Nassau, Bahamas on Friday afternoon.
The FIU Panthers come into this game with a record of 8-4, including a 6-2 mark in conference play to finish in a tie for 2nd in the C-USA East division. James Morgan threw for 2,727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, while the duo of Napoleon Maxwell and D’Vonte Price combined to rush for 1,209 yards and 12 rushing touchdowns this season. CJ Worton led the Panthers with 36 catches for 620 yards and 6 touchdowns while Austin Maloney and Maurice Alexander each had 5 touchdowns with Maloney logging 582 receiving yards while Alexander caught 35 passes for 444 yards. As a team, FIU is averaging 417.9 yards of total offense and 34.6 points per game this season.
The Toledo Rockets booked their spot in the Bahamas Bowl thanks to a 7-5 overall record, including a 5-3 mark in conference play to finish in a 3-way tie for 2nd in the MAC West division. Eli Peters has thrown for 1,573 yards, 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 54.6% passing while Bryant Koback leads the Rockets in rushing with 875 yards and 13 touchdowns. Art Thompkins has rushed for 563 yards and 6 touchdowns while Shakif Seymour has rushed for 526 yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Diontae Johnson leads Toledo’s receiving corps with 43 catches for 663 yards while Jon’Vea Johnson has 29 catches for 611 yards with each logging 7 receiving touchdowns this season. Cody Thompson has added 43 receptions for 592 yards and 10 touchdowns as well this season. As a team, Toledo is averaging 448.5 yards of total offense and 41.1 points per game this season.
FIU is 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 games overall. Toledo is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 non-conference games.
The total has dropped 8 points since it was first released, and between two teams that can score whenever they want to, and with how Toledo scored at will this season, scoring 45+ in 4 of their last 5 and 50+ in 3 of those games combined with the equally as impressive offense of FIU, I think the over is without a doubt the way to go here as this total is a steal given the situation.