Vanderbilt vs. Baylor - Texas Bowl - 12/27/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Baylor Bears (6-6) at Vanderbilt Commodores (6-6)
College Football: Thursday, December 27, 2018 at 9:00 pm (NRG Stadium)
The Line: Vanderbilt Commodores -4.5 -- Over/Under: 55 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Baylor Bears and the Vanderbilt Commodores meet in the Texas Bowl from NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas in college football action.
The Baylor Bears come into this bowl game with a 6-6 overall record, including a 4-5 Big 12 conference record. Charlie Brewer has thrown for 2,635 yards, 17 touchdowns and 8 picks on 61.5% passing while John Lovett leads the Bears in rushing with 546 yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Jalen Hurd leads the Baylor receiving corps with 69 catches for 946 yards and 4 touchdowns while Denzel Mims has 49 catches for 699 yards and 8 scores. Chris Platt also has 504 receiving yards this season. As a team, Baylor is averaging 441.7 yards of total offense and 28.2 points per game this season.
The Vanderbilt Commodores come into the bowl game with a 6-6 mark as well, with a 3-5 conference record including a winner-take-all victory over Tennessee by a final score of 38-13 to secure bowl eligibility. Kyle Shurmur has thrown for 2,844 yards, 23 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 64% passing while Ke’Shawn Vaughn has rushed for 1,001 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Kalija Lipscomb leads the ‘Dores with 81 catches for 886 yards and 9 touchdowns while Jared Pinkney has 45 catches for 698 yards and 7 touchdowns. As a team, Vanderbilt is averaging 397.8 yards of total offense and 27.7 points per game this season.
Baylor is 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games in December while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Vanderbilt is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 bowl games.
I was a little bit surprised to see Baylor as an underdog in this one with this game being in Texas. However, I think that just goes to speak to how well Vanderbilt put it together ATS down the stretch. I like what the Commodores have brought to the table and I think that Vanderbilt can cover this spread and win by a touchdown so I’ll lay the points with the Commodores here.