Alabama vs. Oklahoma Orange Bowl CFP - 12/29/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oklahoma Sooners (12-1) at Alabama Crimson Tide (13-0)
College Football: Saturday, December 29, 2018 at 8:00 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)
The Line: Alabama Crimson Tide -14 -- Over/Under: 79 See the Latest Odds
The Alabama Crimson Tide meet the Oklahoma Sooners in the Orange Bowl with the winner heading to the National Championship of college football.
The #4 seed Oklahoma Sooners bring their topped ranked offense to the college football playoffs. Oklahoma totaled 578.1 yards per game with the #8 passing attack putting up 324 yards although the ground game was formidable as well at 254.1 yards. Oklahoma put up 49.5 points and needed almost every point with their porous defense giving up 448 yards and 32.4 points. Opponents had the most success throwing the ball with the #129 pass defense giving up 291.4 yards.
Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
OU quarterback Kyler Murray captained the OU attack completing nearly 71% of his throws for 4,053 yards and 40 touchdowns and just seven picks. Marquise Brown topped the Oklahoma receiving corps with 1,318 yards and 10 TD’s on 75 catches while CeeDee Lamb caught 57 passes for 1,049 yards an ten scores. Kennedy Brooks paced the sooners on the ground with 1,021 yards on 113 touches and 12 scores while Try Sermon and Murray combined for over 2,000 rushing yards and 23 TD’s on 278 totes.
The Alabama Crimson Tide were outstanding on both sides of the line of scrimmage as opponents were outscored 47.9-14.8. Alabama was tough defensively as expected with only 296.2 yards allowed with only 178.4 yards coming through the air. The Crimson Tide were explosive offensively with the #7 passing attack totaling 325.5 yards with the top 40 ground game averaging 202.2 yards.
Tua Tagovailoa gave Alabama a passing game the team hasn’t seen connecting on 67.7% of his throws for 3,353 yards and 37 touchdowns and only four interceptions. Jerry Jeudy was the top receiving option for the Crimson Tide for 1,103 yards and 12 scores with Jaylen Waddle and Henry Ruggs III combining 1,577 yards on 83 catches and 17 TD’s. Damien Harris and Najee Harris were interchangeable in the rushing attack with 1,450 on 228 carries and eleven touchdowns.
Over is 5-0 in Oklahoma Sooners last 5 games following a ATS win and over is 11-1 in Oklahoma Sooners last 12 games on grass and over is 7-1 in Oklahoma Sooners last 8 games following a straight up win. Over is 4-0 in Alabama Crimson Tide last 4 non-conference games and Alabama Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game and over is 5-0 in Alabama Crimson Tide last 5 vs. Big 12.
I know the spread is huge but I think Alabama scores at will and Oklahoma will be stopped enough to get the cover…