Michigan State vs. Oregon - 12/31/18 College Football Redbox Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Michigan State vs. Oregon - 12/31/18 College Football Redbox Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Casey Sapio-USA TODAY Sports

Michigan State Spartans (7-5) at Oregon Ducks (8-4)

College Football: Monday, December 31, 2018 at 3:00 pm (Levi's Stadium)

The Line: Oregon Ducks -2.5 -- Over/Under: 48 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Michigan State Spartans and Oregon Ducks meet Monday in the college football Redbox Bowl at the Levi's Stadium.

The Michigan State Spartans have split their last eight games overall and have won five of their last six bowl appearances. The Michigan State Spartans have won three of their last five non-home games. Rocky Lombardi is completing 44.2 percent of his passes for 738 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Lombardi and Brian Lewerke have combined for 11 touchdown passes and 13 interceptions this season. Cody White and Felton Davis III have combined for 965 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Darrell Stewart Jr. has 39 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 122 yards per contest, and Connor Heyward leads the way with 520 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 18 points and 311.5 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 94 tackles, Kenny Willekes has 8.5 sacks and Khari Willis has two interceptions.

The Oregon Ducks have split their last six games and look for their first bowl win since the Rose Bowl in 2014. The Oregon Ducks have lost three of their last five non-home games. Justin Herbert is completing 59.6 percent of his passes for 2,985 yards, 28 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Herbert has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. Dillon Mitchell and Jaylon Redd have combined for 1,482 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns while Jacob Breeland has 22 receptions. The Oregon Ducks ground game is averaging 191.2 yards per contest, and CJ Verdell leads the way with 975 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Oregon is allowing 27 points and 390.5 yards per game. Troy Dye leads the Oregon Ducks with 107 tackles, Justin Hollins has five sacks and Jevon Holland has four interceptions.

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The Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Pac-12 and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The Ducks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games, 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The under is 7-0 in Spartans last 7 games overall. The under is 5-0 in Ducks last 5 games on grass.

The Michigan State Spartans ended the season losing two of their last three games and that one victory was a four-point win at hom over a bad Rutgers team. Michigan State has scored 14 or less points in four of its last six games. The Oregon Ducks are averaging 43 points in their last two games and their last three victories are coming by an average of 21 points. The Michigan State Spartans have failed to cover four of their last six games as an underdog of any kind. The Oregon Ducks have failed to cover six of their last nine games as a favorite of any kind. The Michigan State Spartans have an advantage in this game considering they're the bigger and more physical team, and they can probably control the trenches. The problem is Michigan State can't score and both of their quarterbacks struggle to make easy throws. The Oregon Ducks heated up offensively toward the end of the season and have the speed that MSU isn't used to seeing in the Big Ten. If the Ducks get going offensively, this game could get ugly due to the Spartans lack of offensive production. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Oregon Ducks -2.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

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