Oklahoma State vs. Missouri - Liberty Bowl - 12/31/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
Missouri Tigers (8-4) at Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-6)
College Football: Monday, December 31, 2018 at 3:45 pm (Liberty Bowl)
The Line: Oklahoma State Cowboys +8 -- Over/Under: 71 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Missouri Tigers and the Oklahoma State Cowboys meet in the Liberty Bowl from the Liberty Bowl Memorial in Memphis, Tennessee in college football action.
The Missouri Tigers come into this bowl game with an 8-4 overall record, including a 4-4 mark in SEC play, culminating in 4 straight wins to end the season. Drew Lock has thrown for 3,125 yards, 25 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 63.2% passing while the tandem of Larry Rountree III and Damarea Crockett have combined to rush for 1,721 yards and 17 touchdowns this season. Emanuel Hall leads Missouri’s receiving corps with 756 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns while Johnathon Johnson has a team-high 50 grabs for 552 yards and 4 TDs and Albert Okwuegbunam has 43 receptions for 466 yards and 6 touchdowns this season. As a team, Missouri is averaging 468.8 yards of total offense and 36.9 points per game this season.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys enter the bowl game with a 6-6 overall record, including 3-6 in Big 12 conference play. Taylor Cornelius has thrown for 3,637 yards, 28 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 59.3% passing while Justice Hill and Chuba Hubbard have combined to rush for 1,625 yards and 15 touchdowns this season while the aforementioned Cornelius has called his own number for 10 touchdowns this year. Tylan Wallace leads Oklahoma State with 79 catches for 1,398 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Tyron Johnson has added 704 receiving yards and 5 TDs and Dillon Stoner added 544 receiving yards this season. As a team, Oklahoma State is averaging 499.2 yards of total offense and 38.4 points per game this season.
Missouri is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the Big 12 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Oklahoma State is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 bowl games.
Missouri has been the more trustworthy team down the stretch for me, winning their last 4 games, and with Oklahoma State missing lead running back Justice Hill to a rib injury for this game, I can understand why Missouri is a favorite. However, Oklahoma State can light up the scoreboard in their own right, and the Tigers have a bunch of guys listed as questionable for the bowl game. So with that said, the over is worth a look, but given that we know more about Oklahoma State and how the Cowboys have performed well ATS, I’ll take a shot with Oklahoma State and the points here.