Georgia vs. Texas - Sugar Bowl - 1/1/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports
Texas Longhorns (9-4) at Georgia Bulldogs (11-2)
College Football: Tuesday, January 1, 2019 at 8:45 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)
The Line: Georgia Bulldogs -10.5 -- Over/Under: 57 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Texas Longhorns and the Georgia Bulldogs square off in college football action in the Sugar Bowl from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana.
The Texas Longhorns come into this game as the #15 ranked team in the country, finishing with a 9-4 overall record, including 7-2 in Big 12 conference play, booking a spot in the conference championship game where the Longhorns would fall to national playoff semi-finalist Oklahoma by a final score of 39-27. Sam Ehlinger has thrown for 3,123 yards, 25 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 64.3% passing while also rushing for 418 yards and 13 touchdowns. Tre Watson and Keaontay Ingram have combined to rush for 1,378 yards and 6 touchdowns for Texas this season. Lil’Jordan Humphrey leads Texas in receiving with 79 catches for 1,109 yards and 9 touchdowns while Collin Johnson has 65 receptions for 945 yards and 7 scores. As a team, Texas is averaging 415.9 yards of total offense and 31.3 points per game this season.
The Georgia Bulldogs come into the Sugar Bowl as the #5 ranked team in the country, barely missing out on the national playoffs with an 11-2 record, including a 7-1 mark in SEC play, booking a spot in the SEC title game where the Bulldogs would let one slip away in a 35-28 loss to Alabama. Jake Fromm has thrown for 2,537 yards, 27 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 68.4% passing. D’Andre Swift and Elijah Holyfield have combined to rush for 1,993 yards and 17 touchdowns this season, while Mecole Hardman leads Georgia with 540 receiving yards along with 6 touchdowns and Riley Ridley has a team-high 38 grabs for 498 yards and 9 scores. As a team, Georgia is averaging 479.2 yards of total offense and 39.2 points per game this season.
Texas is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games and 13-6-2 ATS in their last 19 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. Georgia is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the under is 7-3 in their last 10 bowl games.
I think Georgia is definitely the better team here, but you have to wonder how many of the Bulldogs will actually be able to get up for this game after the sting of barely missing out on the national playoffs. For all intents and purposes, Georgia looked for most of that game like they had it in the bag and were rolling along before a questionable fake punt pretty much handed the game to Alabama. Texas had heartbreak of their own by losing to Oklahoma, but the Longhorns are still a capable offensive unit that can hang with Georgia given the circumstances so I’ll take the points with Texas here.