Baylor Bears 2020 Win Total - College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Baylor Bears 2020 Win Total - College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

Breaking Down The Baylor Bears Win Total For The 2020 Season

2020 College Football Season

Over/Under: 7 Wins -- Odds to Win National Title: +25000

The Baylor Bears come into the 2020 season looking to maintain their success after climbing back into the upper tier of the Big 12, finishing with an 11-3 record and a spot in the Sugar Bowl. Baylor went from 10 wins in 2015 and four 10-win seasons in 5 years, to 7 wins in 2016 and bottoming out at one win in 2017 before getting back to 7 wins in 2018 and the 11 in 2019. The guy at the head of that improvement, head coach Matt Rhule, isn’t in Waco anymore as the new head coach of the Carolina Panthers. Baylor may be the only Big 12 team with a new head coach to start the year, but the Bears are left in good hands with Dave Aranda taking ofver after a successful stint as assistant head coach and defensive coordinator at LSU.

 

Let’s take a look at Baylor’s schedule for the 2020 season.

Saturday, Sept. 5 vs. Ole Miss (at NRG Stadium in Houston, TX)

Saturday, Sept. 12 vs. Kansas

Saturday, Sept. 19 vs. Incarnate Word

Saturday, Sept. 26 vs. Louisiana Tech

Saturday, Oct. 3 at Oklahoma

Thursday, Oct. 15 at Texas Tech

Saturday, Oct. 24 vs. TCU

Saturday, Oct. 31 at Texas

Saturday, Nov. 7 vs. Oklahoma State

Saturday, Nov. 14 at Iowa State

Saturday, Nov. 21 at West Virginia

Saturday, Nov. 28 vs. Kansas State

 

The good news for the Bears is that a ton of their offense is back, including returning starting QB Charlie Brewer, who threw for 3,161 yards, 21 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 64.5% passing while also tallying 11 rushing TDs last season. Leading rusher John Lovett also returns after rushing for 655 yards last season while Tyquan Thornton and R.J. Sneed will be tasked with heading up Baylor’s receiving group in 2020.

The bad news for Baylor is that Denzel Mims is gone to the NFL after tallying team-highs of 66 receptions for 1,020 yards and 12 touchdowns in his senior season. Dave Aranda is highly-regarded after solid defensive coordinator stints at LSU and Wisconsin, but Aranda loses nine of Baylor’s starting 11 defenders from last year’s stacked unit. Matt Rhule probably recruited and developed well enough that Baylor will be able to hold their own, but it’s definitely going to be a work in progress as the season goes on.

The win total is set at 7 for the 2020 season, and like I said before, I think Matt Rhule did enough recruiting and developing that the Bears won’t completely bottom out. I think there will be a decent regression from last year’s squad, and could easily see Baylor finishing around the 7-5 mark. Eight of Baylor’s conference wins last season came by one score or less, and you have to imagine that some of those bounces will be going the other way in 2020. However, Arenda (even in his first year as head coach) has enough to work with here and has enough talent on the offensive end that Baylor grinds out 8 wins, so I’ll side with the over for Baylor this season.

Chris’s Pick Over 7 Wins

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.