SMU at Texas State - 9/5/20 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

SMU at Texas State - 9/5/20 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Timothy Flores-USA TODAY Sports

SMU Mustangs (0-0) at Texas State Bobcats (0-0)

College Football: Saturday, September 5, 2020 at 4:30 pm (Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium)

The Line: Texas State Bobcats +20.5 -- Over/Under: 66.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The SMU Mustangs and the Texas State Bobcats meet Saturday in college football action from TSU Bobcat Stadium. 

SMU is coming off a nice campaign in 2019, but things ultimately ended in disappointment. The Mustangs finished 10-3 overall and 6-2 in the American Athletic Conference, but fell in the Boca Raton Bowl 52-28 to Florida Atlantic. As for Texas State, they had a disappointing year with a 3-9 result overall, going 2-6 in the Sun Belt for a second-to-last-place finish in the West Division. Check back all season long for free college football picks and college football predictions at Sports Chat Place. 

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SMU started out hot at 8-0 last season, which was their first eight-game unbeaten start since 1982. Losses to Memphis and Navy in the next three games put a damper on the Mustangs’ bid to take the division, but both those schools had great programs last season as well. The bowl game loss is the tough pill to swallow there, as SMU wasn’t really even close versus FAU. 

In any case, 2020 marks the third season of head coach Sonny Dykes on the SMU sideline, and he’ll have a new offensive coordinator this year in Garrett Riley. The Mustangs should have a nice offense again this season, but with a new-look front seven it may be tough to get consistent pressure on defense like the team did so well last year. 

Over on the Texas State side, they started out the season with three straight losses in 2019, but did record a couple of decent wins despite being picked to finish last in the division. The Bobcats beat Georgia State 37-34 in 3OT for their first win last year, then took out South Alabama 30-28 a few weeks later. Texas State fell to SMU 47-17 in their third game last year, so they’ll be looking for some revenge here. 

Texas State head coach Jake Spavital enters his second season in 2020, and the team is ready to take that next step in progression. The Bobcats will be making a conscious effort to balance things out on offense after finishing last in the Sun Belt in rushing last season. Texas State posted just 76.8 rush yards per game and 2.8 rush yards per carry in 2019. 

SMU is 1-0 ATS versus Texas State over the last three season and 1-0 straight-up over the Bobcats over the last three seasons. That game went over the total. Check back for more trends in this matchup once they are released.

Pick: I’m probably sticking with SMU here. There are plenty of question marks surrounding both teams, specifically the Bobcats. Texas State just settled on Brady McBride as starting QB earlier this week, and with the new rush-focused philosophy it may take some time to work out the proverbial kinks. The Mustangs are just a better-developed team with better chemistry right now, and I think SMU will run away here. 

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Andrew’s Pick SMU Mustangs -20.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.