South Alabama vs. Tulane - 9/12/20 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports
Tulane Green Wave (0-0) at South Alabama Jaguars (1-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 12, 2020 at 7:30 pm (Hancock Whitney Stadium)
The Line: South Alabama Jaguars +10 -- Over/Under: 53.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Tulane Green Wave and the South Alabama Jaguars meet in college football action from Hancock Whitney Stadium on Saturday night.
The Tulane Green Wave will hope to take a step forward in 2020 after back-to-back seven win seasons, the first time back-to-back winning seasons has happened for the Green Wave since the late-90s after finishing 7-6 last year including a win over Southern Miss in the Armed Forces Bowl. The Green Wave don’t have Justin McMillan under center anymore, but Keon Howard is a senior that’s ready to step in and has the dual-threat ability to use his arm and his legs like McMillan. The backfield might be the part of this team to keep an eye on offensively, as Amare Jones leads a group of at least four to five stud running backs that can likely top any backfield in the AAC this season. If last year’s ground attack is any indication it’ll be fun to watch at the very least with at least six rushers logging at least 250 yards on the ground last season. The concerns for Tulane offensively are in the receiving group with Jaetavian Toles and Tyrick James as the two top returning receivers for Tulane while Jha’Quan Jackson and Mykel Jones look to be emerging stars from spring practices. Defensively, Tulane has some experience and chemistry in the pass rush, with Patrick Johnson, Cameron Sample, De’Andre Williams and Jeffery Johnson all back to start. The linebacking group was bolstered with the addition of former Oklahoma State Cowboy Kevin Henry along with returning pieces like Marvin Moody and Nick Anderson as well as freshman Jesus Machado. Larry Brooks anchors the secondary in what appears to be one of the top defenses in the AAC if they play to their potential this season.
The South Alabama Jaguars come into this game looking to build on a 32-21 win over Southern Miss as 11.5-point underdogs last time out to start the year 1-0. Desmond Trotter led the way for South Alabama, throwing for 299 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 16 of 27 passing while Chance Lovertich had 64 passing yards and a touchdown. Carlos Davis added 85 rushing yards while Trotter added 41 rushing yards and Terrion Avery had 26 rushing yards and a touchdown. Jalen Tolbert led USA’s receiving group with 6 grabs for 169 yards and 2 touchdowns while Jalen Wayne had 6 grabs of his own for 101 yards and Kawaan Baker logged 4 catches for 82 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, Nick Mobley led the way with 15 total tackles while Keith Gallmon and Riley Cole each had 12 total tackles with Gallmon logging 6 solo tackles while Cole had 5 solo tackles and Jeremiah Littles had two tackles for a loss in the winning effort.
Tulane is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record. South Alabama is 4-0 ATS in their last four home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 non-conference games.
I’ll give props to South Alabama for showing up and beating up Southern Miss on the road in their opener, but the fact is for me that South Alabama were 11.5-point dogs to the Golden Eagles for a reason, and I’m shocked that the line against Tulane is less than that line, even with the Jaguars at home. Tulane’s got a solid defense and have four or five running backs that can run circles around this South Alabama team. If the Green Wave want to be taken seriously in the AAC this season, they have to make a statement here. Give me Tulane and lay the points in this one.