Texas State vs. UTSA - 9/12/20 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by John Glaser-USA TODAY Sports
UTSA Roadrunners (0-0) at Texas State Bobcats (0-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 12, 2020 at 3:30 pm (Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium)
The Line: Texas State Bobcats -7 -- Over/Under: 55.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The UTSA Roadrunners and the Texas State Bobcats meet in college football action from Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium.
The UTSA Roadrunners will hope to get back to winning ways under first year head coach Jeff Traylor, taking a step in the right direction in 2019 after going from 3-9 in 2018 to 4-8 in 2019, but the losing record resulted in the head coaching change from Frank Wilson to Traylor. Josh Adkins transfers in from New Mexico State to battle for the starting QB job after throwing for 5,151 yards, 27 touchdowns and 24 interceptions in the last two years for the Aggies, but Lowell Narcisse and Frank Harris will also be in line to battle for the starting gig as well. Sincere McCormick had a decent rookie year, posting 983 rushing yards and 8 rushing touchdowns, and is expected to do more of the same in his sophomore season. Zakhari Franklin is back after logging 38 grabs for UTSA’s receiving group last year and the receiving group got more talent with the likes of Brennon Dingle and Julian Williams transferring in from UMass and Houston respectively. Defensively, it wasn’t all bad for the Roadrunners as UTSA led C-USA in tackles for a loss but everything else, the pass rush, the run defense, the secondary, was average at best. Eight of the top 12 tacklers from last year’s squad are all back, and Corey Mayfield and Oklahoma State transfer JayVeon Cardwell each have the chance to lead the Kansas State secondary. Trevor Harmanson is back as the team’s leading returning tackler after posting 48 tackles last season while Jaylon Haynes is also back after posting 12.5 tackles for a loss and two sacks last season.
The Texas State Bobcats will look to build off of a solid showing against SMU even in defeat, falling to the Mustangs by a final score of 31-24. Brady McBride threw for 227 yards, two touchdowns and an interception on 21 of 39 passing while Calvin Hill led the Bobcats with 100 rushing yards while Brock Sturges had 95 rushing yards and a touchdown. Trevis Graham Jr. led Texas State with 59 receiving yards while Chandler Speights, Jah’Marae Sheread and Jeremiah Haydel each had a team-high 4 catches with Speights logging 52 yards and a TD, Sheread had 42 receiving yards and Haydel had 37 receiving yards and a touchdown. Defensively, Jarron Morris led the Bobcats with 8 solo tackles while DeJordan Mask, Christian Taylor and Jordan Revels each had 7 total tackles in the loss. Kordell Rodgers and Grid Isidore Jr. each recorded an interception as well for the Bobcats in the defeat.
UTSA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog. Texas State is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games and 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 non-conference games.
Texas State had a solid showing against SMU so I completely understand them being favored here. However, UTSA has a new coach in Jeff Traylor that’s going to get this offense going and Josh Adkins is a proven QB from the Aggies’ offense in New Mexico State and the pieces were there, it just was a matter of not having reliable quarterback play to get the ball there. I’m just not sure if I’m ready to lay a touchdown with Texas State at home where they haven’t been great ATS for a couple of years now, and UTSA’s won all three head-to-head meetings outright against the Bobcats if that counts for anything. This is a game that’s probably better to just watch rather than bet, but I’ll take my shot with UTSA and the free touchdown here.