Texas vs. UTEP - 9/12/20 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas vs. UTEP - 9/12/20 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Daniel Dunn-USA TODAY Sports

UTEP Miners (1-0) at Texas Longhorns (0-0)

College Football: Saturday, September 12, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Texas Longhorns -43 -- Over/Under: 60.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The UTEP Miners and the Texas Longhorns meet in college football action from Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium on Saturday night.

The UTEP Miners will come into this one looking to pull off a massive upset after taking down Stephen F. Austin in their opening game by a final score of 24-14 to start the year at 1-0. Gavin Hardison threw for 212 yards, a touchdown and an interception on 17 of 28 passing while Deion Hankins led the Miners on the ground with 17 carries for 113 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jacob Cowing led the Miners with 7 catches for 116 yards in the receiving group while Justin Garrett had 5 catches for 52 yards and UTEP’s lone receiving touchdown in the game. Defensively, Justin Prince had a pair of fumble recoveries with 4 tackles while Dy’Vonne Inyang had 6 solo tackles to lead the Miners and Duron Lowe added an interception as well.

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The Texas Longhorns will look to take a step back forward after regressing a bit in 2019, going from 10 wins and a Sugar Bowl win in 2018 to an 8-5 record with a victory in the Alamo Bowl last season. Sam Ehlinger is back to lead the ‘Horns after forgoing the draft for another year in Austin after throwing for 3,663 yards and 32 touchdowns last season. The ground attack looks to have some bite to it as well with Keyontae Ingram back after leading Texas with 853 rushing yards and 7 TDs while also recording 29 receptions for 242 yards and 3 TDs. Roschon Johnson had 649 rushing yards and 7 TDs as well for Texas last season but now the Longhorns also have five-star recruit Bijan Robinson at their disposal, making this one of the most imposing backfields in the Big 12. The Longhorns do lost their two top receivers from last year, but Brennan Eagles and Jake Smith each caught 6 touchdowns last year and the group is young but the talent is there to get over the hump and adjust. Defensively, the defense will hope to improve under former Rutgers head coach Chris Ash after finishing just inside the top -100 in terms of total defense last season. I mean this is a Texas team that allowed over 5,600 yards of total offense against last season, including 569 yards to Kansas of all teams. Caden Sterns is back to lead the secondary after finishing third on the team in tackles despite missing a third of the season last year. Malcolm Roach isn’t on the team anymore, but the Longhorns have a pair of massive defensive linemen that will be a handful for opposing teams in Keondre Coburn and Ta’Quon Graham. Joseph Ossai is back in the linebacking group after logging five sacks last year while Juwan Mitchell is back at middle linebacker and DeMarvion Overshown joins the group on the outside to make life even more difficult for the opposition.

UTEP is 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Texas' last 5 games overall and 4-1 in their last 5 home games. 

I get that UTEP is bad. Like really Bad. Like through one week they’ve already matched their win total from each of the last two seasons. But the big 12 isn’t exactly known for playing defense and while the Longhorns are far superior offensively, if you lay this many points, you’re begging for a backdoor cover and all it takes is one or maybe two scores from UTEP and poof. Your bet is blown up. I just think this is a blowout but that Texas takes their foot off, up maybe 41-3 or 45-6 or something like it, but while I’m not touching this game personally I think the only play especially for opening week has to be the boatload of points with UTEP here.

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Chris’s Pick UTEP +43

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.