Louisville vs. Miami - 9/19/20 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports
Miami Hurricanes (1-0) at Louisville Cardinals (1-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 19, 2020 at 7:30 pm (Cardinal Stadium)
The Line: Louisville Cardinals -2 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Miami Hurricanes and the Louisville Cardinals meet in an ACC conference college football matchup from Cardinal Stadium on Saturday.
The Miami Hurricanes will look to build on a 31-14 season-opening win over UAB in their last game. D’Eriq King led the ‘Canes by throwing for 144 yards and a touchdown on 16 of 24 passing while also rushing for 83 yards and a touchdown. Cam’Ron Harris led the Hurricanes on the ground with 134 rushing yards and 2 TDs while Jaylan Knighton and Donald Chaney Jr. each had 50+ rushing yards. Brevin Jordan led Miami in receiving with 51 receiving yards along with a touchdown while Harris had a team-high 4 reception out of Miami’s backfield. Defensively, Bradley Jennings Jr. had a team-high 6 total tackles with two tackles for a loss while Amari Carter had a team-high 4 solo tackles and Quincy Roche had Miami’s lone sack in the victory.
The Louisville Cardinals will look to build on their own season-opening win in the form of a 35-21 win over Western Kentucky last time out. Micale Cunningham threw for 343 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception on 19 of 34 passing while also rushing for 24 yards and a touchdown. Javian Hawkins had 71 rushing yards and a touchdown and Hassan Hall had 66 rushing yards. Dez Fitzpatrick and Braden Smith each had 4 catches for 110 yards with Fitzpatrick logging a touchdown. Tutu Atwell had a team-high 7 catches for 78 yards while Ean Pfeifer and Marshon ford each had a receiving TD as well in the victory. Defensively, Dorian Etheridge led the way with 8 total tackles, including 5 solo tackles and a team-high 3.5 tackles for a loss. Monty Montgomery had a pair of sacks while Isaiah Hayes had 5 solo tackles and Russ Yeast had a pair of fumble recoveries.
Head-to-head, Miam is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between the two as well. Miami si 5-11 against the spread in their last 16 road games, 4-1 agaisnt the spread against a team with a winning record, and 13-6 against the spread in their last 19 games in September. Louisville is 5-1 against the spread as a favorite, 4-10 against the spread in their last 14 ACC games, and 6-20 against the spread against a team with a winning record.
I get why Louisville would be favored and Miami looked slow out of the gates against UAB. The problem for me with Louisville is that Western Kentucky still hung 21 on them and Miami has a talented and loaded roster led by King, and I just feel like even on the road, the wrong team is favored here. Give me Miami on the money line here as the points don’t do me much good personally as I see this one ending by at least a field goal.