Free Pick: Virginia vs. Duke 9/26/20 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds
Photo by Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports
Duke Blue Devils (0-2) at Virginia Cavaliers (0-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 26, 2020 at 4:00 pm (David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium)
The Line: Virginia Cavaliers -6 -- Over/Under: 46.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Duke Blue Devils and Virginia Cavaliers meet Saturday in week 4 college football action at David A. Harrison III Field.
The Duke Blue Devils look for their first win of the season after a quick 0-2 start. The Duke Blue Devils have lost four straight road games. Chase Brice is completing 54.4 percent of his passes for 476 yards, zero touchdowns and two interceptions. Brice has four touchdown passes dating back to last season. Noah Gray and Eli Pancol have combined for 215 receiving yards on 14 catches while Jake Bobo has eight receptions. The Duke Blue Devils ground game is averaging 104.5 yards per contest, and Deon Jackson leads the way with 126 yards on 30 carries. Defensively, Duke is allowing 26.5 points and 440.5 yards per game. Shaka Heyward leads the Duke Blue Devils with 17 tackles, Victor Dimukeje has 3.5 sacks and Lummie Young IV has one interception.
The Virginia Cavaliers are coming off a successful nine-win season and hope to build on that success as possible ACC contenders. Virginia has to find a quarterback replacement for Bryce Perkins, and he was a playmaker who is going to be very tough to replace. The good news is Virginia returns running back Wayne Taulapapa, who had 473 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns last season. Wide receiver Terrell Jana also returns, and he caught 74 passes for 886 yards last season. Defensively, Zane Zandier returns after leading Virginia with 108 tackles, Noah Taylor had seven sacks and Joey Blount had three interceptions. Virginia has to find a reliable quarterback if this is going to be another great season, but the defense will lead the way early and has a chance to be a top-25 defense in the country this season.
The Blue Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games, 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. The over is 8-3-1 in Blue Devils last 12 games overall. The over is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 games overall. The Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Virginia and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Duke Blue Devils have an edge in this game because of the fact they've played two games and have been able to knock off the rust of not having proper practices. We don't know what to expect from the Virginia Cavaliers in their season opener and they're bringing out a new quarterback and a lot of new guys on offense overall. With that said, Duke hasn't looked great though two games and they've had road struggles dating back to last season. Virginia is also stacked on defense and has a chance to be one of the better defenses in the country this season.
I'll lay the touchdown with Virginia at home.