Prediction: North Texas vs. Southern Miss College Football Picks 10/3/20
Photo by Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (0-3) at North Texas Mean Green (1-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 3, 2020 at 7:30 pm (Apogee Stadium)
The Line: North Texas Mean Green -1 -- Over/Under: 72 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles and North Texas Mean Green meet Saturday in week 5 college football action at Apogee Stadium.
The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles need a feel good victory here to rebound from a rough 0-3 start. The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles have split their last six road games. Jack Abraham is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 877 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Abraham has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last eight games. Tim Jones and Jason Brownlee have combined for 490 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Demarcus Jones has 17 receptions. The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles ground game is averaging 98 yards per contest, and Kevin Perkins leads the way with 82 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Southern Mississippi is allowing 43 points and 493 yards per game. Malik Shorts leads the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles with 28 tackles, Tahj Sykes has one sack and Eric Scott Jr. has one interception.
The North Texas Mean Green look for their second home victory to get a game above a .500 record. The North Texas Mean Green have won five of their last eight home games. Austin Aune is completing 52.8 percent of his passes for 387 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Aune and Jason Bean have combined for seven touchdown passes and two interceptions. Jaelon Darden and Greg White have combined for 241 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Jyaire Shorter has four receptions. The North Texas Mean Green ground game is averaging 286 yards per contest, and Oscar Adaway III leads the way with 222 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, North Texas is allowing 48 points and 639.5 yards per game. Kevin Wood leads the North Texas Mean Green with 18 tackles, Larry Nixon III has one sack and Jaxon Gibbs has one pass deflection.
The Golden Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Mean Green are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite and 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Golden Eagles last 4 road games. The over is 5-1 in Mean Green last 6 home games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
This is a massive total but for good reason. The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles are fresh off a game where they allowed 66 points against Tulane, and they're 69th in college football out of 72 teams in rush defense. The North Texas Mean Green allowed 31 points to Houston Baptist and 65 points against SMU. North Texas is 68th in pass defense and 62nd in rush defense. Instead of trying to pick a side in what feels like a toss up game, expect constant scoring.
Massive total, but I don't care. Give me the over 72 points.