SEC Picks: Mississippi State vs. Arkansas College Football Picks, Predictions 10/3/20
Photo by Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports
Arkansas Razorbacks (0-1) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 3, 2020 at 7:30 pm (Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field)
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs -18 -- Over/Under: 69 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Arkansas Razorbacks and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet in SEC college football action from Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday night.
The Arkansas Razorbacks will look to bounce back after starting their season with a 37-10 loss to Georgia last time out. Feleipe Franks threw for 200 yards, a touchdown and 2 interceptions on 19 of 36 passing while Treion Smith had 38 rushing yards. Treylon Burks had 102 receiving yards and a team-high 7 catches for a touchdown this season. Defensively, Grant Morgan had a team-high 13 tackles while Bumper Pool had 11 tackles and Dorian Gerald had a team-high 1.5 sacks.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs kicked off their season with a huge road win over the defending champion LSU Tigers by a final score of 44-34 win in their last game. K.J. Costello threw for 623 yards, 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 36 of 60 passing while Kylin Hill rushed for a team-high 34 rushing yards. Hill also had 8 receptions for 158 yards and a touchdown while Osirus Mitchell has a team-high 163 receiving yards with 7 catches and a pair of touchdowns. Javonta Payton had 127 receiving yards on 6 catches while Tyrell Shavers had 68 receiving yards with a TD and Austin Williams had 57 receiving yards and a touchdown. Defensively, Shawn Preston Jr. had a team-high 11 tackles while Aaron Brule and Erroll Thompson each had 10 total tackles with a sack as well. Marquiss Spencer also bad a pair of sacks while Esaias Furdge and Emmenauel Forbes each had an interception as well.
Arkansas is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Mississippi State is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record wihle the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win. The favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams and the over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between the two as well.
Arkansas looked solid defensively for a good chunk of that game against Georgia but the offense was also non-existent and just couldn’t get anything going. Mississippi State could be prime for a letdown after such an emotional and big-time win, but the offense looked fantastic under Mike Leach with K.J. Costello leading the charge and looking like the perfect QB to lead that offense. I think if form carries over from game one, this is a beatdown from the opening kickoff, so I’ll lay the points with Mississippi State in this one.