SEC: Kentucky vs Mississippi State College Football Picks, Predictions 10/10/20

SEC: Kentucky vs Mississippi State College Football Picks, Predictions 10/10/20 Photo by Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports

Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-1) at Kentucky Wildcats (0-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 10, 2020 at 7:30 pm (Kroger Field)

The Line: Kentucky Wildcats -2.5 -- Over/Under: 55.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Kentucky Wildcats meet in an SEC college football matchup from Kroger Field on Saturday night.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs will look to bounce back from a frustrating 21-14 loss to the Arkansas Razorbacks last time out. K.J Costello has thrown for 936 yards, 6 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 66.4% passing while Jo’quavious Marks has a team-high 52 rushing yards, which isn’t uncommon for Mike Leach’s air raid offense. Osirus Mitchell has a team-high 12 receptions for 244 yards and a pair of touchdowns while Kylin Hill has 158 receiving yards and JAVonta Payton has 145 receiving yards. Defensively, Erroll Thompson has a team-high 23 total tackles while Aaron Bruie and Marquiss Spencer each have a pair of sacks for the Bulldogs this season.

The Kentucky Wildcats will look to rebound from a heart-breaking 42-41 loss to Ole Miss last time out to fall to 0-2 this season. Terry Wilson has thrown for 390 yards, a touchdown and an an interception on 69.1% passing while also leading the Wildcats in rushing with 171 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Asim Rose has 148 rushing yards while Christopher Rodriguez Jr. is right behind with 146 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Josh Ali leads Kentucky’s receiving group with 16 catches for 166 yards while Akeem Hayes has a touchdown grab for the Wildcats this season. Defensively, Jamin Davis and DeAndre Square each have a team-high 12 total tackles with Davis leading Kentucky with 10 total tackles. Davis and Jamar Watson also have a sack each for Kentucky this season.

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Mississippi State is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog while the under is 10-2 in their last 12 road games against a team with a losing home record. Kentucky is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.

I was high on Mississippi State after their win over LSU and then I got sucked into the overreaction as we saw the perils of what happens when the air raid offense fails to take off. Kentucky on the other hand was done in by a missed extra point and sometimes that has a tendency to linger into the next game, a loss like that, but Kentucky doesn’t have the time for that in a condensed season as an 0-3 start would be hard to come back from. The difference for me is that the Bulldogs have been good at defending the run, and if that carries over here, I can see the Wildcats having a hard time moving the ball, even at home. I think the Air Raid offense clicks in this one and guides the Bulldogs to a win here  but I’ll take the points just to be safe as we’ve seen a lot of odd things happen early on this season.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Chris’s Pick Mississippi State +2.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Mississippi State at Kentucky College Football Picks & Prediction Saturday 10/10/20 SportsChatPlace