Free Picks: East Carolina vs Navy College Football Picks, Predictions 10/17/20
Photo by Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports
Navy Midshipmen (1-1) at East Carolina Pirates (0-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 17, 2020 at 12:00 pm (Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium)
The Line: East Carolina Pirates +2.5 -- Over/Under: 61 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Navy Midshipmen and East Carolina Pirates meet Saturday in week 7 college football action at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium.
The Navy Midshipmen look for their second road win to get a game above a .500 record. The Navy Midshipmen have won four of their last six road games. Dalen Morris is completing 58.8 percent of his passes for 203 yards, one touchdown and zero interceptions. Morris and Tyger Goslin have combined for two touchdown passes this season. Mychal Cooper and Mark Walker have combined for 179 receiving yards and one touchdown while Myles Fells has two receptions. The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 166 yards per contest, and Jamale Carothers leads the way with 229 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Navy is allowing 37 points and 442.5 yards per game. Diego Fagot leads the Navy Midshipmen with 28 tackles, J'arius Warren has one sack and Evan Fochtman has one interception.
The East Carolina Pirates look for their first home victory to improve to a .500 record. The East Carolina Pirates have lost five straight home games. Holton Ahlers is completing 57.1 percent of his passes for 673 yards, six touchdowns and four interceptions. Ahlers has three or more touchdown passes in five of his last seven games. Tyler Snead and C.J. Johnson have combined for 306 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Blake Proehl has 17 receptions. The East Carolina Pirates ground game is averaging 168 yards per contest, and Rahjai Harris leads the way with 158 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, East Carolina is allowing 41.3 points and 505 yards per game. Xavier Smith leads the East Carolina Pirates with 28 tackles, Jireh Wilson has two sacks and Warren Saba has one interception.
The Midshipmen are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, 15-34-1 ATS in their last 50 conference games and 18-37-1 ATS in their last 56 games overall. The over is 6-2 in Midshipmen last 8 road games. The over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games overall. The Midshipmen are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
The Navy Midshipmen have a history of beating the hell out of East Carolina, and that includes a 32-point beatdown last year where they rushed for over 300 yards. Navy is coming off a big win over Temple last week, a victory that should kind of provide confidence moving forward. The East Carolina Pirates are coming off a nice road win over USF, but they're also one of the worst defensive teams in college football through three games. With a tricky and tough to defend triple-option offense, I don't like this matchup for ECU, especially knowing the history between these clubs.
I'll lay the small chalk with Navy on the road.