North Carolina Tar Heels (4-2) at Duke Blue Devils (2-5)
College Football: Saturday, November 7, 2020 at 12:00 pm (Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium)
The Line: Duke Blue Devils +9.5 -- Over/Under: 64 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
The North Carolina Tar Heels visit the Duke Blue Devils as they meet Saturday in week 10 ACC college football action at Wallace Wade Stadium.
The North Carolina Tar Heels need a feel good victory here after losing two of their last three games. The North Carolina Tar Heels have lost four of their last six road games. Sam Howell is completing 67 percent of his passes for 1,846 yards, 14 touchdowns and four interceptions. Howell has two or more touchdown passes in 11 of his last 13 games. Dyami Brown and Beau Corrales have combined for 879 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Javonte Williams has 11 receptions. The North Carolina Tar Heels ground game is averaging 223 yards per contest, and Michael Carter leads the way with 648 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, North Carolina is allowing 28.2 points and 382 yards per game. Chazz Surratt leads the North Carolina Tar Heels with 42 tackles, Tomon Fox has 4.5 sacks and Cameron Roseman-Sinclair has one interception.
The Duke Blue Devils are 2-5 on the season and look for back-to-back wins for the first time since September of last year. The Duke Blue Devils have lost five of their last eight home games. Chase Brice is completing 55.1 percent of his passes for 1,567 yards, seven touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Brice has thrown nine interceptions in his last five games. Jake Bobo and Noah Gray have combined for 504 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Jarett Garner has 11 receptions. The Duke Blue Devils ground game is averaging 167.1 yards per contest, and Deon Jackson leads the way with 547 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Duke is allowing 29 points and 382 yards per game. Shaka Heyward leads the Duke Blue Devils with 58 tackles, Victor Dimukeje has 7.5 sacks and Jeremiah Lewis has two interceptions.
The Tar Heels are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November. The over is 10-4 in Tar Heels last 14 road games. The over is 4-1 in Blue Devils last 5 games overall. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
The North Carolina Tar Heels are still an explosive team that's topped 40 points in three of their last four games, but they've looked shaky overall these last couple of weeks, mainly on defense. Losing on the road last week to Virginia is a bad look for a Tar Heels squad looking to prove they're legit. The Duke Blue Devils are playing their best football of the season right now and are coming off a blowout win over Charlotte despite getting dominated in time of possession. UNC is the better team and should be favored, but Duke at home with a bunch of points in this heated rivalry is a tough spot to turn down.
I'll side with Duke and the points.