Vanderbilt Commodores (0-4) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-4)
College Football: Saturday, November 7, 2020 at 4:00 pm (Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field)
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs -19.5 -- Over/Under: 46 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Mississippi State Bulldogs face off in Week 10 SEC college football action from Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The Vanderbilt Commodores will still be looking for their first win after a 54-21 loss to Ole Miss last time out. Ken Seals has thrown for 730 yards, 5 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 66.9% passing while Ja’Veon Marlow has a team-high 148 rushing yards. Keyon Henry-Brooks has 138 rushing yards and Jamauri Wakefield has 116 rushing yards as well for Vandy this season. Cam Johnson leads Vanderbilt’s receiving group with 23 catches for 224 yards while Ben Bresnahan has 17 grabs for 169 yards and Amir Abdue-Rahman and the aforementioned Henry-Brooks each have 100+ receiving yards as well for the ‘Dores this season. Defensively, Dashaun Jenkins leads the Commodores with 26 total tackles while Jaylen Mahoney has 23 total tackles with a team-high 14 solo tackles. Dayo Odeyingbo also has 2.5 sacks to lead Vanderbilt in that department this season.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs will look to bounce back after a 41-0 loss to Alabama last time out. K.J. Costello has thrown for 1,283 yards, 6 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 64.7% passing while Jo’quavious Marks leads the Bulldogs in rushing with 121 rushing yards this season. Osirus Mitchell leads Mississippi State in receiving with 304 receiving yards with a pair of touchdowns while Kylin Hill and JaVonta Payton each have 200+ receiving yards. Five more Mississippi State receivers also have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. Defensively, Erroll Thompson leads the Bulldogs with 50 total tackles including a team-high 17 solo tackles while Emmanuel Forbes has a pair of interceptions and Marquiss Spencer and Tyrus Wheat each have a team-high 2.5 sacks this season.
Vanderbilt is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 conference games while the under is 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Mississippi State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss while the under is 18-6 in their last 24 home games. Vanderbilt is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
I get that Vanderbilt’s been bad for much of the season, and that they’re losing their last three games by an average of 33.7 points per game. However, while they’ve been competitive against their opposition, how can I lay this many points with a Mississippi State that’s stalled offensively over their last four games and haven’t scored more than 14 points in a game in that stretch. Maybe this is a get right spot for the Bulldogs, but I’m not banking on that. Two teams that can’t score? Give me the under.