AAC CFB Picks: Tulsa vs SMU 11/14/20 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

AAC CFB Picks: Tulsa vs SMU 11/14/20 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions Photo by Timothy Flores-USA TODAY Sports

SMU Mustangs (7-1) at Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-1)

College Football: Saturday, November 14, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium)

The Line: Tulsa Golden Hurricane -2 -- Over/Under: 64 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The SMU Mustangs visit Tulsa Golden Hurricane as they meet Saturday in week 11 AAC college football action at Chapman Stadium in Tulsa.

The SMU Mustangs look to remain unbeaten on the road while building on their 7-1 record. The SMU Mustangs have won eight of their last 11 road games. Shane Buechele is completing 66.5 percent of his passes for 2,581 yards, 20 touchdowns and three interceptions. Buechele has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last seven games. Rashee Rice and Kylen Granson have combined for 1,065 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Reggie Roberson Jr. has 22 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 193 yards per contest, and Ulysses Bentley IV leads the way with 774 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 28.6 points and 409.3 yards per game. Delano Robinson leads the SMU Mustangs with 62 tackles, Elijah Chatman has three sacks and Brandon Crossley has three interceptions.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane haven’t played in two weeks but look to build on their three-game winning streak. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have split their last six home games. Zach Smith is completing 59.3 percent of his passes for 924 yards, seven touchdowns and five interceptions. Smith has six touchdown passes in his last three games. Keylon Stokes and Josh Johnson have combined for 518 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Sam Crawford Jr. has 12 receptions. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane ground game is averaging 169.7 yards per contest, and Deneric Prince leads the way with 279 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Tulsa is allowing 21.3 points and 375 yards per game. Kendarin Ray leads the Tulsa Golden Hurricane with 31 tackles, Zaven Collins has three sacks and Allie Green IV has one interception. 

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The Mustangs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in November and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Mustangs last 5 road games. The under is 11-4 in Golden Hurricane last 15 games following a ATS loss. The Mustangs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Tulsa and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The SMU Mustangs have shown they can win on the road this season and are one of the more balanced offensive teams in college football, averaging over 500 yards and 40 points. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have had issues playing a consistent schedule thanks to COVID-19, but they're riding a three-game winning streak and have covered three of their four games. SMU has had the larger sample size, is ranked and has the history of being a more dominant program, but it's hard not to be impressed with Tulsa when its actually played, and that includes beating a ranked UCF team on the road and taking Oklahoma State down to the wire. SMU and the points is intriguing, but it also feels like a trap a little bit.

I like Tulsa in this spot. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Tulsa Golden Hurricane -2

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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