CFB Picks: Virginia vs Abilene Christian 11/21/20 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

CFB Picks: Virginia vs Abilene Christian  11/21/20 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions Photo by Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Abilene Christian Wildcats (0-2) at Virginia Cavaliers (3-4)

College Football: Saturday, November 21, 2020 at 4:00 pm (David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium)

The Line: Virginia Cavaliers -39.5 -- Over/Under: 61.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Virginia Cavaliers host the Abilene Christian Wildcats when they meet Saturday in week 12 college football action at David A. Harrison III Field in Charlottesvile.

The Abilene Christian Wildcats are 1-4 on the season and look to end the year with a massive upset victory. The Abilene Christian Wildcats have lost seven of their last nine road games. Peyton Mansell is completing 61.6 percent of his passes for 1,109 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions. Mansell has one or less touchdown passes in four of his last five games. Lionell McConnell and Kobe Clark have combined for 580 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Branden Hohenstein has eight receptions. The Abilene Christian Wildcats ground game is averaging 114.2 yards per contest, and Jermiah Dobbins leads the way with 221 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Abilene Christian is allowing 31.6 points and 402.4 yards per game. Jack Gibbens leads the Abilene Christian Wildcats with 42 tackles, Jordan Paup has 2.5 sacks and Koy Richardson has two pass deflections.

The Virginia Cavaliers look for a third straight win to get back to a .500 record. The Virginia Cavaliers have won three of their last four home games. Brennan Armstrong is completing 56.4 percent of his passes for 1,188 yards, 11 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Armstrong and Lindell Stone have combined for 14 touchdown passes and 11 interceptions this season. Billy Kemp IV and Terrell Jana have combined for 833 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Lavel Davis Jr. has 13 receptions. The Virginia Cavaliers ground game is averaging 170.7 yards per contest, and Wayne Taulapapa leads the way with 362 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Virginia is allowing 30.9 points and 444.6 yards per game. Nick Jackson leads the Virginia Cavaliers with 74 tackles, Charles Snowden has six sacks and Brenton Nelson has two interceptions.

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The Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The over is 11-2 in Cavaliers last 13 games overall.

The Abilene Christian Wildcats haven't had much success in terms of victories, but they hung around with games against UTEP and Army. We also know Abilene Christian will be up for this game with it being the last game of the season. The Virginia Cavaliers are playing their best football of the season, but they're also a team that usually grinds games out, doesn't have the talent to run away with victories, and this will be just the fifth time since 2015 where they've been favored by at least 21 points. The market often overacts when its a FBS vs. FCS contest and the lesser team covers these inflated lines probably more than you'd think.

I'll take a shot with Abilene Christian and the points.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Abilene Christian Wildcats +39.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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