Prediction: Texas State vs Arkansas State 11/21/20 College Football Picks, Odds

Prediction: Texas State vs Arkansas State 11/21/20 College Football Picks, Odds Photo by Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-5) at Texas State Bobcats (1-9)

College Football: Saturday, November 21, 2020 at 3:00 pm (Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium)

The Line: Texas State Bobcats +5.5 -- Over/Under: 68 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Texas State Bobcats host the Arkansas State Red Wolves as they meet in Sun Belt conference week 12 college football action from Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will be out to snap a three-game losing skid after falling to Louisiana 27-20 in their last outing before last week’s game against Louisiana-Monroe was postponed. Layne Hatcher has thrown for 1,337 yards, 12 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 60.4% passing while Logan Bonner has thrown for 1,287 yards, 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 60.1% passing this season. Lincoln Pare leads the Red Wolves with 436 rushing yards while Jamal Jones has 346 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns this season. Jonathan Adams Jr. leads A-State with 60 grabs for 832 yards and 8 touchdowns while Dahu Green has 32 grabs for 542 yards and 5 scores and Brandon Bowling has 393 receiving yards on 32 grabs with 5 TDs as well. The Red Wolves have another four receivers with at least 100+ receiving yards this season as well. On defense, Justin Rice leads Arkansas State with 60 total tackles including a team-high 44 solo tackles and 6 sacks while TW Ayers has 4 sacks. Antonio Fletcher and Samy Johnson each have a pair of INTs for the Red Wolves as well this season.

The Texas State Bobcats need a win after falling to 1-9 and 1-5 in conference play with a 7th straight loss in the form of a 40-38 loss to Georgia Southern last time out. Brady McBride has thrown for 1,280 yards, 11 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 57.3% passing while Tyler Vitt has thrown for 933 yards, 9 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 61.2% passing. Brock Sturges leads Texas State with 514 rushing yards and 5 scores while Calvin Hill isn’t far behind with 462 rushing yards and 4 TDs. Jahmyl Jeter has 282 rushing yards with a pair of TDs as well for the Bobcats this season. Marcell Barbee leads Texas State’s receiving group with 32 catches for 464 yards and a team-high 9 touchdowns while Jaremiah Haydel has 305 receiving yards and Jah’Marae Sheread, Drue Jackson and Javen Banks all have 200+ receiving yards. The Bobcats have another four different receivers with at least 100 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jarron Morris leads Texas State with 60 total tackles including a team-high 45 solo tackles as well as a team-high 4 interceptions while Sione Tupou has 57 total tackles and Nico Ezidore has 56 total tackles with a team-high 2.5 sacks this season.

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Arkansas State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on turf while the under is 11-4-1 in their last 16 games in November. Texas State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 14-6 in their last 20 games following a loss. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

I’ll give Texas State credit for battling earlier in the season against teams like SMU and Boston College and even in their last game against Georgia Southern. The problem is that the Bobcats just aren’t a good football team and are getting blown past more often than not this season. Arkansas State doesn’t play a lick of defense, but the best defense for the Red Wolves is a good offense and I’m just worried that Texas State won’t have the horses to keep up here. I’ll lay the points with Arkansas State in this one.

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Chris’s Pick Arkansas State -5.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

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