SEC Picks: Vanderbilt vs Florida 11/21/20 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

SEC Picks: Vanderbilt vs Florida 11/21/20 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions Photo by Gainesville Sun-USA TODAY Sports

Florida Gators (5-1) at Vanderbilt Commodores (0-6)

College Football: Saturday, November 21, 2020 at 12:00 pm (Vanderbilt Stadium)

The Line: Vanderbilt Commodores +30.5 -- Over/Under: 67.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Vanderbilt Commodores host the number six ranked Florida Gators as they meet in SEC college football action from Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville on Saturday afternoon.

The Florida Gators will look to build on their three-game winning streak and 5-1 record after a 63-35 win over Arkansas last time out. Kyle Trask has thrown for 2,171 yards, 28 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 70.1% passing while Dameon Pierce leads Florida in rushing with 290 rushing yards and a pair of ground scores. Malik Davis and Nay’Quan Wright each have 100+ rushing yards as well this season. Kyle Pitts leads Florida’s receiving group with 414 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns while Kadarius Toney has a team-high 38 receptions for 396 yards and 6 scores. Trevon Grimes has 303 receiving yards with 5 TDs and the aforementioned Davis has 267 receiving yards while Jacob Copeland, Wright, Justin Shorter and Keon Zipperer each have 100+ receiving yards for the Gators this season. On defense, Ventrell Miller leads Florida with 41 total tackles including 23 solo tackles while Zachary Carter has a team-high 2.5 sacks this season.

The Vanderbilt Commodores will still be hunting for their first win of the season, sitting at 0-6 after a 38-35 loss to Kentucky last time out. Ken Seals has thrown for 1,291 yards, 8 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 66.8% passing while Keyon Henry-Brooks has a team-high 374 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. Ja’Veon Marlow and Jamauri Wakefield each have 100+ rushing yards while Cam Johnson leads Vandy’s receiving corps with 37 grabs for 355 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Amir Abdur-Rahman, Ben Bresnahan, Henry-Brooks and Chris Pierce Jr. each have 200+ receiving yards with Bresnahan and Pierce Jr. each logging 3 receiving touchdowns this season. Defensively, Anfernee Orji leads Vanderbily with 38 total tackles while Jaylen Mahoney and Allan George each have 20 solo tackles to lead the Commodores in that regard. Dayo Odeyingbo also has a team-high 3.5 sacks for the Commodores this season.

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Florida is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 conference games while the over is 7-1 in their last 8 games overall. Vanderbilt is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games while the under is 11-5 in their last 16 conference games. Florida is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams at Vanderbilt.

This line is tricky because we all know that Florida can get to that number on their own, but the Gator defense has left a lot to be desired this season. On the other hand, Vanderbilt is coming off of their best offensive performance of the season, but the defense also gave up 38 points to a Kentucky team that had barely scored a third of that over the previous two games. I think that Florida’s offense is the more reliable of the two, and I think if Florida wants to crack the playoff spots and if Kyle Trask wants to bolster his Heisman resume, the Gators need to put a hurting on Vanderbilt here. The Commodores have also lost all three of their home games by 33 or 34 points this season, so I’ll lay the points with Florida in a rout.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Chris’s Pick Florida -30.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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