CFB Picks: Utah State vs New Mexico 11/26/20 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

CFB Picks: Utah State vs New Mexico 11/26/20 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions Photo by Brian Losness-USA TODAY Sports

New Mexico Lobos (0-4) at Utah State Aggies (0-4)

College Football: Thursday, November 26, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium)

The Line: Utah State Aggies +4.5 -- Over/Under: 53 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Utah State Aggies host the New Mexico Lobos when they meet Thursday, Thanksgiving Day, in week 13 MWC college football action at Maverik Stadium.

The New Mexico Lobos are 0-4 on the season and haven’t won a game since September 21 of last year. The New Mexico Lobos haven’t won a road game since October 6 of 2018. Tevaka Tuioti is completing 56.1 percent of his passes for 475 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Tuioti and Trae Hall have combined for four touchdowns and four interceptions. Jordan Kress and Emmanuel Logan-Greene have combined for 443 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Andrew Erickson has 11 receptions. The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 163 yards per contest, and Bobby Cole leads the way with 255 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 33 points and 474 yards per game. Brandon Shook leads the New Mexico Lobos with 37 tackles, Joey Noble has two sacks and Jerrick Reed II has three interceptions.

The Utah State Aggies are also 0-4 on the season and haven’t won a game since November 30 of last year. The Utah State Aggies have lost three straight home games. Jason Shelley is completing 51.5 percent of his passes for 420 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Shelley has two touchdown passes in his last three games. Deven Thompkins and Justin McGriff have combined for 294 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Jordan Nathan has six receptions. The Utah State Aggies ground game is averaging 130.5 yards per contest, and Jaylen Warren leads the way with 252 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Utah State is allowing 37.3 points and 525.8 yards per game. AJ Vongphachanh leads the Utah State Aggies with 33 tackles, Marcus Moore has two sacks and Shaq Bond has one interception.

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The Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, 7-19 ATS in their last 26 conference games and 10-23 ATS in their last 33 games overall. The Aggies are 11-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 6-2 in Lobos last 8 road games. The over is 10-4 in Aggies last 14 home games. The road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

You shouldn't be running to the window to bet either of these teams and New Mexico is probably the better team here when looking at the numbers. The Utah State Aggies haven't done much of anything right on either side of the ball this season and have scored no more than 16 points in four games. However, New Mexico hasn't won a game in over a year and hasn't won on the road in over two years. The Lobos are also way below average defensively and are one of the worst teams in the country against the pass. This is a spot where I just want the points if forced to pick, as I'm not laying chalk with either of these clubs.

You should probably enjoy time with your family instead of getting involved with this one, but give me Utah State if I had to pick.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Utah State Aggies +4.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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