CFB Picks: Colorado vs San Diego State 11/28/20 College Football Picks, Odds

CFB Picks: Colorado vs San Diego State 11/28/20 College Football Picks, Odds Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

San Diego State Aztecs (3-2) at Colorado Buffaloes (2-0)

College Football: Saturday, November 28, 2020 at 5:00 pm (Folsom Field)

The Line: Colorado Buffaloes -2.5 -- Over/Under: 52.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Colorado Buffaloes host the San Diego State Aztecs when they meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Folsom Field in Boulder.

The San Diego State Aztecs look for a strong road victory to build on their 3-2 start. The San Diego State Aztecs have won six of their last eight road games. Carson Baker is completing 57.9 percent of his passes for 591 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Baker has zero touchdown passes in his last three games. Jesse Matthews and Kobe Smith have combined for 363 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Daniel Bellinger has nine receptions. The San Diego State Aztecs ground game is averaging 246 yards per contest, and Greg Bell leads the way with 565 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing 15.4 points and 269.4 yards per game. Tariq Thompson leads the San Diego State Aztecs with 30 tackles, Caden McDonald has 4.5 sacks and Rashad Scott has one interception. 

The Colorado Buffaloes look for a win to start 3-0 for the third time in the last four years. The Colorado Buffaloes have won three straight home games. Sam Noyer is completing 63.6 percent of his passes for 512 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Noyer has three touchdown passes on his last 69 pass attempts. Dimitri Stanley and Brady Russell have combined for 269 receiving yards and two touchdowns while La'Vontae Shenault has three receptions. The Colorado Buffaloes ground game is averaging 220.5 yards per contest, and Jarek Broussard leads the way with 308 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Colorado is allowing 37 points and 437.5 yards per game. Nate Landman leads the Colorado Buffaloes with 20 tackles, Mustafa Johnson has one sack and Carson Wells has one interception. 

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The Aztecs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Buffaloes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 56-27-2 in Aztecs last 85 games overall. The under is 16-5 in Buffaloes last 21 vs. MWC.

This is a classic matchup between a highly effective defense against an explosive offense, and it's usually a club like SDSU that has the edge. However, the Colorado Buffaloes have been more impressive overall with wins over UCLA and Stanford, and their offense seems to attack from all angles. And while the defense could be better, Colorado has shown the ability to stop the run and that's going to be key in this game against an Aztecs team that likes to control the trenches. Should be a fun Pac-12 contest, but I like the Buffaloes to get the job done at home. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Colorado Buffaloes -2.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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