Prediction: Appalachian State vs Troy 11/28/20 College Football Picks, Odds

Prediction: Appalachian State vs Troy 11/28/20 College Football Picks, Odds Photo by Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports

Troy Trojans (4-4) at Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-2)

College Football: Saturday, November 28, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Kidd Brewer Stadium)

The Line: Appalachian State Mountaineers -16.5 -- Over/Under: 49.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Appalachian State Mountaineers host the Troy Trojans when they face off in Sun Belt conference college football action from Kidd-Brewer Stadium on Saturday night.

The Troy Trojans will try to rebound from back-to-back losses after a 20-17 loss to Middle Tennessee last time out to fall to 4-4 on the year. Gunnar Watson has thrown for 1,459 yards, 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 68.5% passing while Jacob Free has thrown for 957 yards, 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 59% passing. Kimani Vidal leads Troy in rushing with 393 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns while B.J. Smith has 270 rushing yards with 3 touchdowns and Jamontez Woods has 119 rushing yards this season. Kaylon Geiger leads Troy with 45 receptions and 557 receiving yards while Reggie Todd and Khalil McClain each have 300+ receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. Tray Eafford and B.J. Smith each have 200+ receiving yards while Tez Johnson, Vidal and Bret Clark each have 100+ receiving yards on the year. Defensively, Carlton Martial leads Troy with 66 total tackles including 38 solo tackles and Will Choloh and Richard Jibunor each have a team-high 3 sacks this season.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers will try to rebound from a 34-23 loss to Coastal Carolina, falling to 6-2 on the year with their first conference loss, leaving their Sun Belt record at 4-1 this season. Zac Thomas has thrown for 1,496 yards, 13 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 65.3% passing while also rushing for 255 yards. Daetrich Harrington leads App State in rushing with 595 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns while Camerun Peoples has 544 rushing yards with 5 scores and Marcus Williams Jr. has 350 rushing yards this season. Thomas Hennigan leads Appalachian State’s receiving group with 407 receiving yards while Malik Williams has a team-high 28 catches for 370 yards and Christian Wells has 220 receiving yards and a team-high 4 touchdowns. On defense, Trey Cobb and D’Marco Jackson each have a team-high 56 total tackles with Cobb posting 3 sacks and Jackson logging a pair of interceptions. Ryan Huff and Brendan Harrington each have a team-high 3 interceptions while Demetrius Taylor has a team-high 6 sacks this season.

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Troy is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. Appalachian State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 conference games. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

I get why points at home with Troy are tempting as Appalachian State has been horrendous against the spread this season. However, Troy just lost to a terrible Middle Tennessee team and now have to play an App State team that’s ticked off after blowing their chance to catch Coastal Carolina and watched their hopes of playing in the Sun Belt championship game go up in smoke. This is simply a case of wrong place, wrong time for Troy as Appalachian State will come out fired up here. I’ll lay the points with the Mountaineers in this one.

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Chris’s Pick Appalachian State -16.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

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