Texas Longhorns at Colorado Buffaloes 12/29/20: College Football free preview, analysis, prediction, odds and pick against the spread.
2020-12-29 21:00:00 EDT
The Colorado Buffaloes face off with the Texas Longhorns Tuesday in college football bowl season action in the Valero Alamo Bowl at the Alamodome in San Antonio.
The Texas Longhorns have won four of their last five games and look for a fourth straight bowl victory. The Texas Longhorns have won three of their last four non-home games. Sam Ehlinger is completing 60.1 percent of his passes for 2,406 yards, 25 touchdowns and five interceptions. Ehlinger has two or more touchdown passes in nine of his last 11 games. Brennan Eagles and Joshua Moore have combined for 855 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Jake Smith has 23 receptions. The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 183.3 yards per contest, and Bijan Robinson leads the way with 520 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 29.1 points and 409.8 yards per game. Juwan Mitchell leads the Texas Longhorns with 59 tackles, Joseph Ossai has five sacks and Caden Sterns has one interception.
The Colorado Buffaloes look to build on their 4-1 record while winning their first bowl game since the 2004 season. The Colorado Buffaloes have won both of their non-home games this season. Sam Noyer is completing 58.4 percent of his passes for 1,000 yards, six touchdowns and five interceptions. Noyer has three touchdown passes in his last three games. Dimitri Stanley and La’Vontae Shenault have combined for 442 receiving yards and one touchdown while Brenden Rice has six receptions. The Colorado Buffaloes ground game is averaging 218.4 yards per contest, and Jarek Broussard leads the way with 813 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Colorado is allowing 27 points and 376.8 yards per game. Nate Landman leads the Colorado Buffaloes with 53 tackles, Carson Wells has 4.5 sacks and Nigel Bethel Jr. has one interception.
TheLonghorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 bowl games and 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Buffaloes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Longhorns last 7 games as a favorite. The under is 7-1 in Buffaloes last 8 neutral site games. The Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Colorado and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
The Texas Longhorns are as balanced of a team as they’ve been in a while and they should be well rested for this game considering it’s the first time they’ve played in about a month. The Colorado Buffaloes got exposed their last time out in a loss to Utah, but they’re still above average defensively and have a top-20 rushing attack in the country. Colorado is a team I’ve been on a lot this season, but I am worried about if its going to be able to control the trenches in this contest. The Texas Longhorns are bigger, faster and more physical, and we often see these smaller Pac-12 teams overmatched when they play some of the big boys. Texas has also had a lot of time off to prepare.
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Texas should roll here, pulling away in the second half.