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Citrus Bowl Picks: Northwestern vs Auburn 1/1/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

Auburn Tigers at Northwestern Wildcats 1/1/21: College Football free preview, analysis, prediction, odds and pick against the spread.
2021-01-01 13:00:00 EDT

The Northwestern Wildcats face off with the Auburn Tigers Friday in the Ctrus Bowl on New Year’s Day college football at Camping World Stadium in Orlando.

The Auburn Tigers have won four of their last six games and look for their fifth bowl victory since the 2010 season. The Auburn Tigers have lost three of their last five non-home games. Bo Nix is completing 60 percent of his passes for 2,123 yards, 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Nix has one or less touchdown passes in eight of his last nine games. Seth Williams and Anthony Schwartz have combined for 1,324 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Eli Stove has 40 receptions. The Auburn Tigers ground game is averaging 172.7 yards per contest, and Tank Bigsby leads the way with 834 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 23.7 points and 400.9 yards per game. Zakoby McClain leads the Auburn Tigers with 102 tackles, Colby Wooden has four sacks and Roger McCreary has three interceptions.

The Northwestern Wildcats have split their last four games and look for their fifth bowl victory under coach Pat Fitzgerald. The Northwestern Wildcats have split their last four non-home games. Peyton Ramsey is completing 59.9 percent of his passes for 1,442 yards, nine touchdowns and eight interceptions. Ramsey has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman and Kyric McGowan have combined for 813 receiving yards and four touchdowns while John Raine has 18 receptions. The Northwestern Wildcats ground game is averaging 162.3 yards per contest, and Drake Anderson leads the way with 256 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Northwestern is allowing 15.5 points and 338.8 yards per game. Paddy Fisher leads the Northwestern Wildcats with 74 tackles, Eku Leota has four sacks and Brandon Joseph has six interceptions.

The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. The Wildcats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games overall. The under is 7-1 in Wildcats last 8 games overall.

The Auburn Tigers offense hasn’t scared anybody all season long and now they’re dealing with the distractions of a new head coach. The Northwestern Wildcats gave Ohio State a run for its money in the Big Ten Championship and is led by one of the more under appreciated defenses in the country. Northwestern doesn’t have the offense to run away with games, but this team plays hard and should be happy to be here against an SEC opponent. You’re also giving Fitzgerald extra time to prepare, which is scary given he’s one of the better college coaches. 

I’ll take Northwestern by a touchdown.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Northwestern Wildcats -3.5
Up to $5000 Risk Free Bet; Use code DAWGZRF

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.

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