Oregon Ducks at Iowa State Cyclones 1/2/21: College Football free preview, analysis, prediction, odds and pick against the spread.
2021-01-02 16:00:00 EDT
The Iowa State Cyclones face off with the Oregon Ducks in the Fiesta Bowl in college football from State Farm Stadium in Phoenix.
The Oregon Ducks come into this one looking to add to their 4-2 record after finishing 3-2 and adding a conference championship game win over USC by a final score of 31-24 last time out. Tyler Shough threw for 1,480 yards, 13 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 62.7% passing while Travis Dye led the Ducks on the ground with 391 rushing yards and CJ Verdell had 285 rushing yards and 3 scores this season. Devon Williams, Jaylon Redd, Johnny Johnson III and the aforementioned Travis Dye each had 200+ receiving yards with Williams logging a team-high 264 yards while Redd led the Ducks with 22 catches for his 252 yards and Dye had a team-high 4 touchdowns. On defense, Isaac Slade-Matautia leads the ducks with 38 total tackles while Noah Sewell has 37 total tackles and a team-high 21 solo tackles this season. Kayvon Thibodeaux had a team-high 3 sacks as well this season for the Ducks.
The Iowa State Cyclones come into the bowl game with an 8-3 overall record, including an 8-1 mark in Big 12 conference play to finish as the regular season champion in the Big 12, but the Cyclones would lose to Oklahoma in the conference championship game by a final score of 27-21. Brock Purdy has thrown for 2,594 yards, 18 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 66.4% passing while Breece Hall leads the Cyclones on the ground with 1,436 yards and 19 touchdowns. Xavier Hutchinson leads Iowa State’s receiving group with 60 catches for 726 yards with 4 touchdowns while Charlie Kolar has 39 grabs for 538 yards and 6 touchdowns. Landon Akers, Chase Allen and Sean Shaw Jr each have 200+ receiving yards as well for Iowa State this season. On defense, Mike Rose leads the Cyclones with 90 total tackles including 51 solo tackles and 4 interceptions. Will McDonald IV led the Cyclones with 9.5 sacks and JaQuan Bailey has 7 sacks for Iowa State this year.
Oregon is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record and 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games while the over is 6-0 in their last 6 games following a win. Iowa State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games while the under is 9-0-1 in their last 10 neutral site games.
The points with Oregon are tempting as this is a Ducks team I’ve been high on for a while, but the Cyclones have an experienced QB in Purdy and Iowa State was easily the best team in the Big 12 this seasonI just get the feeling that this is a game that the Cyclones win by 6-7 points at least, so I’ll lay the points with Iowa State in this spot.