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CFP Championship Picks: Alabama vs Ohio State 1/11/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

Ohio State Buckeyes at Alabama Crimson Tide 1/11/21: College Football free preview, analysis, prediction, odds and pick against the spread.
2021-01-11 20:00:00 EDT

The Alabama Crimson Tide face off with the Ohio State Buckeyes Monday in the CFP College Football National Championship Game at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL.

The Ohio State Buckeyes look to finish the year with an 8-0 record while winning their ninth national title in school history. The Ohio State Buckeyes have won four straight non-home games. Justin Fields is completing 72.6 percent of his passes for 1,521 yards, 15 touchdowns and five interceptions. Fields has two or more touchdown passes in 18 of his last 19 games. Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave have combined for 1,149 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Jameson Williams has five receptions. The Ohio State Buckeyes ground game is averaging 275.6 yards per contest, and Trey Sermon leads the way with 675 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Ohio State is allowing 21 points and 358 yards per game. Pete Werner leads the Ohio State Buckeyes with 37 tackles, Tommy Togiai has three sacks and Shaun Wade has two interceptions.

The Alabama Crimson Tide look to finish 13-0 while winning their 18th national title in school history. The Alabama Crimson Tide have won eight straight non-home games. Mac Jones is completing 76.5 percent of his passes for 3,739 yards, 32 touchdowns and four interceptions. Jones has nine touchdown passes in his last three games. DeVonta Smith and John Metchie III have combined for 2,293 receiving yards and 23 touchdowns while Jaylen Waddle has 25 receptions. The Alabama Crimson Tide ground game is averaging 189.8 yards per contest, and Najee Harris leads the way with 1,262 yards and 24 touchdowns. Defensively, Alabama is allowing 19.5 points and 351.2 yards per game. Christian Harris leads the Alabama Crimson Tide with 68 tackles, Will Anderson Jr. has seven sacks and Malachi Moore has three interceptions.

The Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 bowl games. The Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The over is 4-1-1 in Buckeyes last 6 games overall. The over is 22-9-2 in Crimson Tide last 33 neutral site games.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are obviously the better team here and should be able to control the trenches a bit, which usually results to them winning in blowout fashion as they just wear on their opponent. However, the Ohio State Buckeyes have shown they’re far from a pushover through seven games, and they just aboutely manhandled a really good Clemson team. Ohio State also has an NFL caliber quarterback and speed at the playmaking positions, similar to what the Florida Gators have, an offense that hung 46 points on the Tide’s head. Ohio State had Clemson’s defense on its heels all game long and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Buckeyes can put up a decent amount of points here as well. This feels like a back and forth, high scoring national title game. A game decided in the fourth quarter. Give me the Buckeyes and the points.

See you guys next season!

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Ohio State Buckeyes +8
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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.

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